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http://www.newsmax.com/politics/ap_yahoo_poll_obama_gains/2008/04/18/89024.html

AP-Yahoo Poll: Obama Overtaking Clinton Despite Bruises

Friday, April 18, 2008

WASHINGTON -- Sens. Barack Obama and Hillary Rodham Clinton are both
sustaining dents and dings from their lengthy presidential fight. The former
first lady is clearly suffering more as Democratic voters no longer see her
as the party's strongest contender for the White House.

Voters of all types have gotten a better sense of Obama, who was an obscure
Illinois legislator just four years ago. As more people moved from the "I
don't know him" category in an AP-Yahoo News poll, more rated Obama as
inexperienced, unethical and dishonest. And 15 percent erroneously think
he's a Muslim, thanks in part to disinformation widely spread on the
Internet.

But Obama's positive ratings have climbed as well, while Clinton _ widely
known since the early 1990s _ has been less able to change people's views of
her. And when those views have shifted, it has hurt her more than helped.

The New York senator's ratings for being honest, likable, ethical and
refreshing have fallen since January, and Obama scores higher than she does
in all those categories.

In a dramatic reversal, the AP-Yahoo News poll found that a clear majority
of Democratic voters now say Obama has the better chance of defeating
Republican Sen. John McCain in November.

In late January, before Obama scored 11 straight primary and caucus
victories, 56 percent of Democrats saw Clinton as the stronger nominee,
compared with 33 percent for Obama. Now, Obama leads on that question, 56
percent to 43 percent.

Still, the poll, conducted by Knowledge Networks, contains some worrisome
signs for the first-term senator. Those rating him as "not at all honest,"
for example, jumped from 18 percent last fall to 27 percent in April. It
came as he was put on the defensive over incendiary comments by his former
pastor. But many holding such views are Republicans or conservative
independents who would be unlikely to vote in a Democratic primary or
support a Democrat in the fall anyway.

The most encouraging sign for Obama is that many Democrats who previously
saw Clinton as their party's best hope now give him that role. About
one-third of them still prefer Clinton, but they have lost confidence in her
electability.

"I would love to vote for Hillary," said Nancy Costello of Bellevue, Ky.,
one of the more than 1,800 randomly selected adults whose opinions are
rechecked every few months in the AP-Yahoo News poll. "I'm 67, and I'll
probably never get another chance to vote for a woman."

But Obama now appears to be the stronger candidate, she said, and electing a
Democrat in November is paramount. If McCain wins and continues many of
President Bush's economic and foreign policies, Costello said, "I think I
would just sit down and cry."

By tracking the same group throughout the campaign, the AP-Yahoo News poll
can gauge how individual views change. It suggests that Clinton has paid a
price for hammering Obama since early February on several issues as she
tries to overcome his lead in delegates and the popular vote. Among those
Democrats who no longer consider her the more electable of the two, most now
see her as less likable, decisive, strong, honest, experienced and ethical
than they did in January.

Meanwhile, those same voters are more likely to see Obama as strong, honest
and refreshing than before.

Beulah Barton of Leesburg, Fla., said she initially backed Clinton, partly
because she liked Bill Clinton's record as president.

"But the more I hear her talk, and the more I hear him talk, the more put
off I am," said Barton, 69. "I think she's brash, I think she's rude. I get
the feeling that she feels she deserves to be president" and doesn't need
"to earn it."

Barton said she likes Obama, and ignores e-mails suggesting that he refuses
to salute the flag or is somehow threatening "because of his name."

"People try to make him look like a traitor," she said. "I think he has
risen above most of that stuff."

Some misinformation sticks, however. The great majority of the poll's
participants said this month they did not know the religious affiliation of
Clinton (a Methodist) or Obama (United Church of Christ). But 15 percent
ventured that Obama, whose father was Kenyan, is a Muslim.

That group includes more Democrats than Republicans, and it doesn't
necessarily worry them.

Randi Estes, a Democrat from Ada, Okla., said she prefers Clinton but feels
Obama is likely to win the nomination. "He's gotten very strong media
coverage, and Bill Clinton's not helping her a bit," said Estes, 36, who has
four children under the age of 6.

Speaking of Obama, she said, "I have a sense he's a Muslim."

If Obama wins the nomination, the poll indicates he will need to mend his
image a bit as he battles McCain for independents and soft Republicans. His
favorability rating among all voters has declined, with those ranking him as
"very unfavorable" growing from 17 percent in January to 25 percent in
April. Most of them are Republicans and independents.

In January, 30 percent of Republicans rated Obama very unfavorably. That
grew to 43 percent in April. Among the coveted independents, 12 percent had
a very unfavorable view of Obama in January. That has nearly doubled to 23
percent.

Obama would be the first black president, and the survey detected some
evidence of racial discomfort in voters' minds. It found that about 8
percent of whites would be uncomfortable voting for a black for president.
It produced an estimate of about 13 percent of Republicans who would feel
that way, but suggested very few if any Democrats would now be
uncomfortable. In November, about 5 percent of Democrats indicated
discomfort at voting for a black person for president.

For Allen Lovell, a moderate Democrat in Everett, Wash., race is
unimportant, but replacing Bush with a Democrat is vital. And lately he has
concluded that Obama probably has the better chance of beating McCain.

"I am leaning towards him, not because he's black _ because I'm white _ but
because we definitely need a change," said Lovell, 50.

He said the Democratic campaign has lasted too long, but there is one topic
he'd like to hear more about. Lovell, who guessed that Obama is "either
Christian or Muslim," said: "I don't think we're getting enough information
on religion" from the candidates.

The survey of 1,844 adults was conducted April 2-14 and had an overall
margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.3 percentage points. Included
were interviews with 863 Democrats, for whom the margin of sampling error
was plus or minus 3.3 points, and 668 Republicans, with a margin of sampling
error of plus or minus 3.8 points.

The poll was conducted over the Internet by Knowledge Networks. It initially
contacted people using traditional telephone polling methods, and followed
with online interviews. People chosen for the study who had no Internet
access were given it for free.

 

[Topaz]

Goebbels speech on March 18, 1933:
"German women, German men !
It is a happy accident that my first speech since taking charge of the
Ministry for Propaganda and People's Enlightenment is to German women.
Although I agree with Treitschke that men make history, I do not
forget that women raise boys to manhood. You know that the National
Socialist movement is the only party that keeps women out of daily
politics. This arouses bitter criticism and hostility, all of it very
unjustified. We have kept women out of the parliamentary-democratic
intrigues of the past fourteen years in Germany not because we do not
respect them, but because we respect them too much. We do not see the
woman as inferior, rather as having a different mission, a different
value, than that of the man. Therefore we believed that the German
woman, who more than any other in the world is a woman in the best
sense of the word, should use her strength and abilities in other
areas than the man.

The woman has always been not only the man's sexual companion, but
also his fellow worker. Long ago, she did heavy labor with the man in
the field. She moved with him into the cities, entering the offices
and factories, doing her share of the work for which she was best
suited. She did this with all her abilities, her loyalty, her selfless
devotion, her readiness to sacrifice.

The woman in public life today is no different than the women of the
past. No one who understands the modern age would have the crazy idea
of driving women from public life, from work, profession, and bread
winning. But it must also be said that those things that belong to the
man must remain his. That includes politics and the military. That is
not to disparage women, only a recognition of how she can best use her
talents and abilities.
Looking back over the past year's of Germany's decline, we come to the
frightening, nearly terrifying conclusion, that the less German men
were willing to act as men in public life, the more women succumbed to
the temptation to fill the role of the man. The feminization of men
always leads to the masculinization of women. An age in which all
great idea of virtue, of steadfastness, of hardness and determination
have been forgotten should not be surprised that the man gradually
loses his leading role in life and politics and government to the
woman.

It may be unpopular to say this to an audience of women, but it must
be said, because it is true and because it will help make clear our
attitude toward women.

The modern age, with all its vast revolutionary transformations in
government, politics, economics and social relations has not left
women and their role in public life untouched. Things we thought
impossible several years or decades ago are now everyday reality. Some
good, noble and commendable things have happened. But also things that
are contemptible and humiliating. These revolutionary transformations
have largely taken from women their proper tasks. Their eyes were set
in directions that were not appropriate for them. The result was a
distorted public view of German womanhood that had nothing to do with
former ideals.

A fundamental change is necessary. At the risk of sounding reactionary
and outdated, let me say this clearly: The first, best, and most
suitable place for the women is in the family, and her most glorious
duty is to give children to her people and nation, children who can
continue the line of generations and who guarantee the immortality of
the nation. The woman is the teacher of the youth, and therefore the
builder of the foundation of the future. If the family is the nation's
source of strength, the woman is its core and center. The best place
for the woman to serve her people is in her marriage, in the family,
in motherhood. This is her highest mission. That does not mean that
those women who are employed or who have no children have no role in
the motherhood of the German people. They use their strength, their
abilities, their sense of responsibility for the nation, in other
ways. We are convinced, however, that the first task of a socially
reformed nation must be to again give the woman the possibility to
fulfill her real task, her mission in the family and as a mother.

The national revolutionary government is everything but reactionary.
It does not want to stop the pace of our rapidly moving age. It has no
intention of lagging behind the times. It wants to be the flag bearer
and pathfinder of the future. We know the demands of the modern age.
But that does not stop us from seeing that every age has its roots in
motherhood, that there is nothing of greater importance than the
living mother of a family who gives the state children.

German women have been transformed in recent years. They are beginning
to see that they are not happier as a result of being given more
rights but fewer duties. They now realize that the right to be elected
to public office at the expense of the right to life, motherhood and
her daily bread is not a good trade.

A characteristic of the modern era is a rapidly declining birthrate in
our big cities. In 1900 two million babies were born in Germany. Now
the number has fallen to one million. This drastic decline is most
evident in the national capital. In the last fourteen years, Berlin's
birthrate has become the lowest of any European city. By 1955, without
emigration, it will have only about three million inhabitants. The
government is determined to halt this decline of the family and the
resulting impoverishment of our blood. There must be a fundamental
change. The liberal attitude toward the family and the child is
responsible for Germany's rapid decline. We today must begin worrying
about an aging population. In 1900 there were seven children for each
elderly person, today it is only four. If current trends continue, by
1988 the ratio will be 1 : 1. These statistics say it all. They are
the best proof that if Germany continues along its current path, it
will end in an abyss with breathtaking speed. We can almost determine
the decade when Germany collapses because of depopulation.

We are not willing to stand aside and watch the collapse of our
national life and the destruction of the blood we have inherited. The
national revolutionary government has the duty to rebuilt the nation
on its original foundations, to transform the life and work of the
woman so that it once again best serves the national good. It intends
to eliminate the social inequalities so that once again the life of
our people and the future of our people and the immortality of our
blood is assured..."


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