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http://www.newsmax.com/morris/I_Predict_Obama_Will_Win/2008/02/11/71853.html
I Predict Obama Will Win
Monday, February 11, 2008
By: Dick Morris
I believe that Barack Obama will defeat Hillary and win the Democratic
nomination. I think that this weekend's victories in states as diverse as
Washington State, Louisiana, Nebraska, and Maine illustrates his national
appeal and demonstrates Hillary's inability to win in states without large
immigrant and Latino populations.
Hillary's results on Super Tuesday, which amounted to a draw with Obama,
will be her high water mark and will represent the closest she will ever
come to the party nomination.
Right now, CBS has Obama ahead in elected delegates with 1134, while Hillary
has only 1131. By the time Virginia, Maryland, DC, Wisconsin, and Hawaii
vote during the next week, Obama will have a lead over Clinton of about 100
delegates, even counting the super delegates who have thus far committed
themselves.
March 4th will, at worst, be a wash for Obama with his probably wins in
Ohio, Rhode Island and Vermont offsetting his probable defeat in Texas.
(Although in Texas' open primary, Republicans and Independents may flock to
the Dem primary to beat Hillary).
And then come a list of states almost all of which should go for Obama,
including likely victories in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Indiana. By
the convention, he will have more than enough delegates to overcome the
expected margins Hillary may rack up among super delegates.
And don't bet on all the super delegates staying hitched to Hillary. These
folks are politicians, half of them public office holders who are really
good at reading the handwriting on the wall and really bad at gratitude for
past favors.
Since 2004, I have predicted that Hillary Clinton would be the nominee. But,
given the consistently amazing performance of Obama, his superior
organizational and fund-raising skills, his inspiration of young people, and
the flat and completely uninspiring performance by Hillary, it looks to me
like it will be Obama as the Democratic nominee.
I Predict Obama Will Win
Monday, February 11, 2008
By: Dick Morris
I believe that Barack Obama will defeat Hillary and win the Democratic
nomination. I think that this weekend's victories in states as diverse as
Washington State, Louisiana, Nebraska, and Maine illustrates his national
appeal and demonstrates Hillary's inability to win in states without large
immigrant and Latino populations.
Hillary's results on Super Tuesday, which amounted to a draw with Obama,
will be her high water mark and will represent the closest she will ever
come to the party nomination.
Right now, CBS has Obama ahead in elected delegates with 1134, while Hillary
has only 1131. By the time Virginia, Maryland, DC, Wisconsin, and Hawaii
vote during the next week, Obama will have a lead over Clinton of about 100
delegates, even counting the super delegates who have thus far committed
themselves.
March 4th will, at worst, be a wash for Obama with his probably wins in
Ohio, Rhode Island and Vermont offsetting his probable defeat in Texas.
(Although in Texas' open primary, Republicans and Independents may flock to
the Dem primary to beat Hillary).
And then come a list of states almost all of which should go for Obama,
including likely victories in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Indiana. By
the convention, he will have more than enough delegates to overcome the
expected margins Hillary may rack up among super delegates.
And don't bet on all the super delegates staying hitched to Hillary. These
folks are politicians, half of them public office holders who are really
good at reading the handwriting on the wall and really bad at gratitude for
past favors.
Since 2004, I have predicted that Hillary Clinton would be the nominee. But,
given the consistently amazing performance of Obama, his superior
organizational and fund-raising skills, his inspiration of young people, and
the flat and completely uninspiring performance by Hillary, it looks to me
like it will be Obama as the Democratic nominee.
