Hitlary Short On Time and Delegates, Not Much Up Top Either...

http://www.newsmax.com/headlines/clinton_delegates_obama/2008/04/18/89251.html

Hillary Short On Time and Delegates

Friday, April 18, 2008

Time is running out on Hillary Rodham Clinton, the long-ago front-runner for

the Democratic presidential nomination who now trails Barack Obama in

delegates, states won and popular votes.

Compounding Clinton's woes, Obama appears on track to finish the primary

campaign fewer than 100 delegates shy of the 2,025 needed to win.

Clinton argues to Democratic officialdom that other factors should count, an

unprovable assertion that she's more electable chief among them. But she

undercut her own claim in Wednesday night's debate, answering "yes, yes,

yes" when asked whether her rival could win the White House.

There's little if any public evidence the party's elite, the superdelegates

who will attend the convention, are buying her argument anyway.

In the days since the surfacing of Obama's worst gaffe of the campaign - an

observation that small town Americans are bitter folk who cling to religion

and guns out of frustration - he has gained six convention superdelegates,

to four for Clinton.

"I investigated and studied the context of the whole speech," said one of

the six, Reggie Whitten of Oklahoma, who told Obama on Tuesday he would

support him. "I think the comment was to some extent taken out of context

and blown up, but I can tell you I think people in small towns have a lot of

reason to be bitter," added Whitten, who grew up in Seminole, a town of

6,700.

Clinton leads in Pennsylvania polls in advance of Tuesday's primary there,

with 158 convention delegates at stake. A victory is essential to her

chances of winning the nomination, but far from sufficient. Instead, a

triumph of any magnitude would instantly establish Indiana on May 6 as her

next must-win state, particularly since her aides have privately signaled

that defeat is likely in North Carolina on the same day.

Overall, Obama's delegate lead is 1,645-1,507. That masks an even larger

advantage among those won in primaries and caucuses. There, his advantage is

1,414-1,250.

An additional 566 are at stake in the remaining contests in eight states,

Guam and Puerto Rico before the primary season ends on June 3.

If Obama captures 53 percent of them, which is the share he has gained in

contests to date, he would close out the primary season with at least 1,945

delegates, only 80 less than the total needed to clinch the nomination. If

he and Clinton split the 566 evenly, he would still be within 100 of the

number needed.

Clinton needs to win a forbidding 65 percent of the delegates in the

remaining primaries to draw even with Obama in pledged delegates. It's a

share she has achieved only once so far, in Arkansas, where her husband was

governor for more than a decade.

Given the unyielding delegate math, Clinton has relied for weeks on

forbearance from party leaders to sustain her challenge. And they are

growing restless, eager for the epic nomination battle to end so Democrats

can unify for the fall campaign against John McCain and the Republicans.

In fact, it's unlikely any other candidate could have survived as long

without coming under overwhelming pressure to withdraw.

"There aren't many figures in American politics who could sustain 11

straight losses and hang into a race and raise $35 million," Obama said at

The Associated Press annual meeting recently. "So in that sense she's

unique, and the fact that former President Clinton is there, too, and the

structure that he has of loyalty all across the country and the brand name

that they have makes it very tough."

If he was bitter about it, he didn't show it.

Still, there are limits to how long party leaders will wait, given polls

that show McCain has pulled even in the race for the White House.

New Jersey Gov. Jon Corzine, a Clinton supporter, said Friday she needs a

big win in Pennsylvania, and a loss would be a "door closer."

Massachusetts Rep. Barney Frank, also a Clinton supporter, said recently

that the candidate who trails in delegates after June 3 should quit the

race. "Probably before that, once it becomes clear that one or the other is

clearly - there's no realistic chance," he told the AP in an interview.

Frank's remarks were merely more pointed than when Senate Majority Leader

Harry Reid said a few weeks ago that he hoped the race would be over by the

end of June. Or when House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said she thought it would be

a disservice to the party for the superdelegates to overturn the verdict of

the primary voters.

Congressional leaders have their own reasons for wanting an end to the

nominating campaign.

They are playing a different numbers game.

Obama and Clinton are focused on 2,025, the magic number of delegates.

But 218 is the number that matters most to Pelosi, the number of seats

needed to assure a continued Democratic majority in the Congress that

convenes in January. Reid has visions of 60, the probably unattainable

number of seats that would allow a unified Democratic majority to break any

Republican-led filibuster.

For now, they and other party officials have granted Clinton a little more

time to make her case, and she takes every opportunity.

Eager to capitalize on Obama's comments about small town Americans, she

announced the support last Tuesday of Bill Kennedy, a commissioner in

Montana's sparsely populated Yellowstone County.

Unflustered, Obama countered 24 hours later with an announcement that 25 of

the 35 Democratic members of the Legislature in predominantly rural South

Dakota were for him.

"I know he's a Christian. I'm a Christian," said one of them, Dale Hargens,

the state House leader. He resides in Miller, S.D., population 1,650.

Goebbels speech on March 18, 1933:

"German women, German men !

It is a happy accident that my first speech since taking charge of the

Ministry for Propaganda and People's Enlightenment is to German women.

Although I agree with Treitschke that men make history, I do not

forget that women raise boys to manhood. You know that the National

Socialist movement is the only party that keeps women out of daily

politics. This arouses bitter criticism and hostility, all of it very

unjustified. We have kept women out of the parliamentary-democratic

intrigues of the past fourteen years in Germany not because we do not

respect them, but because we respect them too much. We do not see the

woman as inferior, rather as having a different mission, a different

value, than that of the man. Therefore we believed that the German

woman, who more than any other in the world is a woman in the best

sense of the word, should use her strength and abilities in other

areas than the man.

The woman has always been not only the man's sexual companion, but

also his fellow worker. Long ago, she did heavy labor with the man in

the field. She moved with him into the cities, entering the offices

and factories, doing her share of the work for which she was best

suited. She did this with all her abilities, her loyalty, her selfless

devotion, her readiness to sacrifice.

The woman in public life today is no different than the women of the

past. No one who understands the modern age would have the crazy idea

of driving women from public life, from work, profession, and bread

winning. But it must also be said that those things that belong to the

man must remain his. That includes politics and the military. That is

not to disparage women, only a recognition of how she can best use her

talents and abilities.

Looking back over the past year's of Germany's decline, we come to the

frightening, nearly terrifying conclusion, that the less German men

were willing to act as men in public life, the more women succumbed to

the temptation to fill the role of the man. The feminization of men

always leads to the masculinization of women. An age in which all

great idea of virtue, of steadfastness, of hardness and determination

have been forgotten should not be surprised that the man gradually

loses his leading role in life and politics and government to the

woman.

It may be unpopular to say this to an audience of women, but it must

be said, because it is true and because it will help make clear our

attitude toward women.

The modern age, with all its vast revolutionary transformations in

government, politics, economics and social relations has not left

women and their role in public life untouched. Things we thought

impossible several years or decades ago are now everyday reality. Some

good, noble and commendable things have happened. But also things that

are contemptible and humiliating. These revolutionary transformations

have largely taken from women their proper tasks. Their eyes were set

in directions that were not appropriate for them. The result was a

distorted public view of German womanhood that had nothing to do with

former ideals.

A fundamental change is necessary. At the risk of sounding reactionary

and outdated, let me say this clearly: The first, best, and most

suitable place for the women is in the family, and her most glorious

duty is to give children to her people and nation, children who can

continue the line of generations and who guarantee the immortality of

the nation. The woman is the teacher of the youth, and therefore the

builder of the foundation of the future. If the family is the nation's

source of strength, the woman is its core and center. The best place

for the woman to serve her people is in her marriage, in the family,

in motherhood. This is her highest mission. That does not mean that

those women who are employed or who have no children have no role in

the motherhood of the German people. They use their strength, their

abilities, their sense of responsibility for the nation, in other

ways. We are convinced, however, that the first task of a socially

reformed nation must be to again give the woman the possibility to

fulfill her real task, her mission in the family and as a mother.

The national revolutionary government is everything but reactionary.

It does not want to stop the pace of our rapidly moving age. It has no

intention of lagging behind the times. It wants to be the flag bearer

and pathfinder of the future. We know the demands of the modern age.

But that does not stop us from seeing that every age has its roots in

motherhood, that there is nothing of greater importance than the

living mother of a family who gives the state children.

German women have been transformed in recent years. They are beginning

to see that they are not happier as a result of being given more

rights but fewer duties. They now realize that the right to be elected

to public office at the expense of the right to life, motherhood and

her daily bread is not a good trade.

A characteristic of the modern era is a rapidly declining birthrate in

our big cities. In 1900 two million babies were born in Germany. Now

the number has fallen to one million. This drastic decline is most

evident in the national capital. In the last fourteen years, Berlin's

birthrate has become the lowest of any European city. By 1955, without

emigration, it will have only about three million inhabitants. The

government is determined to halt this decline of the family and the

resulting impoverishment of our blood. There must be a fundamental

change. The liberal attitude toward the family and the child is

responsible for Germany's rapid decline. We today must begin worrying

about an aging population. In 1900 there were seven children for each

elderly person, today it is only four. If current trends continue, by

1988 the ratio will be 1 : 1. These statistics say it all. They are

the best proof that if Germany continues along its current path, it

will end in an abyss with breathtaking speed. We can almost determine

the decade when Germany collapses because of depopulation.

We are not willing to stand aside and watch the collapse of our

national life and the destruction of the blood we have inherited. The

national revolutionary government has the duty to rebuilt the nation

on its original foundations, to transform the life and work of the

woman so that it once again best serves the national good. It intends

to eliminate the social inequalities so that once again the life of

our people and the future of our people and the immortality of our

blood is assured..."

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