Hitlary's Daunting Delegate Deficit - She Should Quit Now For the Good of the Party!

http://www.newsmax.com/politics/clinton_delegate_deficit/2008/02/20/74210.html

Clinton Faces Daunting Delegate Deficit

Wednesday, February 20, 2008

WASHINGTON -- Democratic Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton must win 57 percent of

the remaining primary and caucus delegates to erase Barack Obama's lead, a

daunting task requiring landslide-sized victories by a struggling

presidential candidate.

Obama's victories in Wisconsin and Hawaii on Tuesday _ his ninth and 10th in

a row _ left him with 1,178 pledged delegates won in primaries and caucuses

in The Associated Press' count. Clinton has 1,024.

Another 1,025 remain to be awarded, most of them in contests in 14 states,

Guam and Puerto Rico.

Further complicating Clinton's challenge, Obama appears particularly

well-positioned to win at least one of the remaining states with ease.

Mississippi, with a primary on March 11, fits a pattern of Southern states

with large black populations that he has won handily, including South

Carolina, Alabama, Georgia and Louisiana.

The rival campaigns maintain their own delegate counts. And while both agree

Obama is the leader, they differ on the significance.

"The only way in this system to amass delegates is to win by big margins.

Close races result in close delegate distribution," David Plouffe, Obama's

campaign manager, told reporters in a conference call.

"The only way she can do it is winning states like Ohio 65-35, Texas 65-35,

Pennsylvania, you know, 70-30. and you go on and on and on. She'd have to

win pretty much all the states, even states where we're considered to have

some strength," he added.

Clinton's top aides said Plouffe was deliberately trying to set

unrealistically high expectations for the former first lady.

"We expect to do well in both those states," said Harold Ickes, speaking of

Texas and Ohio, which hold primaries on March 4. "But 65 percent is a far

reach and there is no expectation here that we're going to hit that number."

"We're in the neighborhood of about 75 delegates behind, that is less that 3

percent of the total number of delegates who have been elected. We expect to

narrow that gap substantially by the end of this process," he added.

Obama's lead in delegates won at the ballot box is partially offset by

Clinton's advantage among superdelegates _ members of Congress, governors

and other party leaders who are unpledged to either candidate. She leads in

that category, 238-173, cutting Obama's overall margin to 89 delegates in

the AP count.

Superdelegates are free to shift allegiances. And Clinton's recent string of

primary and caucuses defeats coincides with a slow erosion of support among

the same party leaders who established her as the front-runner months before

the first votes were cast.

She has failed to add any since Super Tuesday on Feb. 5, while Obama is

slowly gaining ground.

The former first lady lost two more superdelegates during the day, both in

New Jersey, when one switched to Obama and the other moved to uncommitted.

Additionally, Reps. Lloyd Doggett of Texas and Ron Kind of Wisconsin, both

superdelegates, endorsed Obama.

"My constituents overwhelmingly chose Barack Obama to be their nominee, and

I am proud to pledge my superdelegate vote to him as well," Kind said in a

statement.

Further underscoring Clinton's political peril, Rep. David Scott of Georgia

announced he would vote for Obama rather than the former first lady, and

Rep. John Lewis said he might switch, as well.

Superdelegates aside, results in earlier states show how difficult Clinton

will find it to overtake Obama's lead when the primaries resume in two

weeks.

In general, delegates are allocated on the basis of popular votes within

congressional districts, and any candidate who gains 15 percent of the vote

is entitled to at least one.

Clinton won New Jersey with 54 percent of the vote and Massachusetts with 56

percent on Feb. 5. But because Obama ran relatively well, particularly in

some congressional districts, she won the delegate competition by only 28

delegates combined in the two states.

Contrast that to Obama's home state of Illinois, he won slightly less than

65 percent of the vote _ and won 55 more delegates than Clinton.

The contests left on the calendar include primaries in Ohio, Texas, Vermont,

Rhode Island, Mississippi, Pennsylvania, Indiana, North Carolina, West

Virginia, Kentucky, Oregon, Montana and South Dakota as well as caucuses in

Wyoming, Guam and Puerto Rico. There are 44 delegates unallocated from

primaries and caucuses held earlier.

Goebbels speech on March 18, 1933:

"German women, German men !

It is a happy accident that my first speech since taking charge of the

Ministry for Propaganda and People's Enlightenment is to German women.

Although I agree with Treitschke that men make history, I do not

forget that women raise boys to manhood. You know that the National

Socialist movement is the only party that keeps women out of daily

politics. This arouses bitter criticism and hostility, all of it very

unjustified. We have kept women out of the parliamentary-democratic

intrigues of the past fourteen years in Germany not because we do not

respect them, but because we respect them too much. We do not see the

woman as inferior, rather as having a different mission, a different

value, than that of the man. Therefore we believed that the German

woman, who more than any other in the world is a woman in the best

sense of the word, should use her strength and abilities in other

areas than the man.

The woman has always been not only the man's sexual companion, but

also his fellow worker. Long ago, she did heavy labor with the man in

the field. She moved with him into the cities, entering the offices

and factories, doing her share of the work for which she was best

suited. She did this with all her abilities, her loyalty, her selfless

devotion, her readiness to sacrifice.

The woman in public life today is no different than the women of the

past. No one who understands the modern age would have the crazy idea

of driving women from public life, from work, profession, and bread

winning. But it must also be said that those things that belong to the

man must remain his. That includes politics and the military. That is

not to disparage women, only a recognition of how she can best use her

talents and abilities.

Looking back over the past year's of Germany's decline, we come to the

frightening, nearly terrifying conclusion, that the less German men

were willing to act as men in public life, the more women succumbed to

the temptation to fill the role of the man. The feminization of men

always leads to the masculinization of women. An age in which all

great idea of virtue, of steadfastness, of hardness and determination

have been forgotten should not be surprised that the man gradually

loses his leading role in life and politics and government to the

woman.

It may be unpopular to say this to an audience of women, but it must

be said, because it is true and because it will help make clear our

attitude toward women.

The modern age, with all its vast revolutionary transformations in

government, politics, economics and social relations has not left

women and their role in public life untouched. Things we thought

impossible several years or decades ago are now everyday reality. Some

good, noble and commendable things have happened. But also things that

are contemptible and humiliating. These revolutionary transformations

have largely taken from women their proper tasks. Their eyes were set

in directions that were not appropriate for them. The result was a

distorted public view of German womanhood that had nothing to do with

former ideals.

A fundamental change is necessary. At the risk of sounding reactionary

and outdated, let me say this clearly: The first, best, and most

suitable place for the women is in the family, and her most glorious

duty is to give children to her people and nation, children who can

continue the line of generations and who guarantee the immortality of

the nation. The woman is the teacher of the youth, and therefore the

builder of the foundation of the future. If the family is the nation's

source of strength, the woman is its core and center. The best place

for the woman to serve her people is in her marriage, in the family,

in motherhood. This is her highest mission. That does not mean that

those women who are employed or who have no children have no role in

the motherhood of the German people. They use their strength, their

abilities, their sense of responsibility for the nation, in other

ways. We are convinced, however, that the first task of a socially

reformed nation must be to again give the woman the possibility to

fulfill her real task, her mission in the family and as a mother.

The national revolutionary government is everything but reactionary.

It does not want to stop the pace of our rapidly moving age. It has no

intention of lagging behind the times. It wants to be the flag bearer

and pathfinder of the future. We know the demands of the modern age.

But that does not stop us from seeing that every age has its roots in

motherhood, that there is nothing of greater importance than the

living mother of a family who gives the state children.

German women have been transformed in recent years. They are beginning

to see that they are not happier as a result of being given more

rights but fewer duties. They now realize that the right to be elected

to public office at the expense of the right to life, motherhood and

her daily bread is not a good trade.

A characteristic of the modern era is a rapidly declining birthrate in

our big cities. In 1900 two million babies were born in Germany. Now

the number has fallen to one million. This drastic decline is most

evident in the national capital. In the last fourteen years, Berlin's

birthrate has become the lowest of any European city. By 1955, without

emigration, it will have only about three million inhabitants. The

government is determined to halt this decline of the family and the

resulting impoverishment of our blood. There must be a fundamental

change. The liberal attitude toward the family and the child is

responsible for Germany's rapid decline. We today must begin worrying

about an aging population. In 1900 there were seven children for each

elderly person, today it is only four. If current trends continue, by

1988 the ratio will be 1 : 1. These statistics say it all. They are

the best proof that if Germany continues along its current path, it

will end in an abyss with breathtaking speed. We can almost determine

the decade when Germany collapses because of depopulation.

We are not willing to stand aside and watch the collapse of our

national life and the destruction of the blood we have inherited. The

national revolutionary government has the duty to rebuilt the nation

on its original foundations, to transform the life and work of the

woman so that it once again best serves the national good. It intends

to eliminate the social inequalities so that once again the life of

our people and the future of our people and the immortality of our

blood is assured..."

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