Vietnam War: It Could Have Been Avoided

R

Raymond

Guest
Vietnam War: It Could Have Been Avoided
Tim King Salem-News.com

If we learned from our mistakes, the world would be a different place
today.

(SALEM, Ore.) - Long before the U.S. went to Vietnam, before at least
58,148 of our countrymen were killed there, and thousands were left
behind missing and in captivity, our country was asked by an acting
leader of that nation to help them finally achieve freedom.

Without question, the word "freedom" brings to mind the purest pursuit
of the United States, and our President has used it as one of the
reasons for occupying Iraq with U.S. forces. Another example of a
quest for freedom came at the close of the Second World War, from a
man Americans later learned to hate.

The year Vietnam asked us for help was 1945, the man asking was Ho Chi
Minh, and he would later become the leader of the communist forces of
the North Vietnamese. When you look at the history of the Vietnam
conflict, and all of the senseless killing and suffering, you learn
there is at least a possibility that it could have been easily
avoided.

During World War Two, Ho Chi Minh worked for President Franklin Delano
Roosevelt. He helped rescue downed American pilots, and providing
valuable information to Americans on Japanese troop movements.

He had been trained in Moscow, but Ho had spent time in the United
States too and was regarded as enthusiastically pro-American during
this period. Ho disbanded the Communist Party in the immediate post-
war period, a constitution similar to ours was adopted, and he called
for a general election.

President Roosevelt had publicly endorsed Vietnam's independence and
Ho believed the President would bring Vietnam its long awaited goal,
freedom.

But the passing of FDR was more to Vietnam than a changing of the
guard, it meant the end of a promise for U.S. support. When Ho Chi
Minh sent communiques asking the Truman Administration to recognize
Vietnam as a sovereign nation, and to not fund the revitalization of
French colonialism in Southeast Asia, his words fell on deaf ears.

Shortly after that the French came back, funded by American dollars.
But they did not last long, and their military forces were fully
defeated by 1954. Ten years later the American war in Vietnam began,
and more than ten more years would pass before our country's final
pullout.

Had we listened to that request for freedom in 1945, there might have
never been a Vietnam War. It is almost as though the country most
interested in protecting the world from Communism, the U.S., was the
facilitator of this country's aspirations to become Communist in the
first place, at least Moscow responded to Ho Chi Minh's letters.

Why is this relevant? It just seems like perspective is everything
when you talk about the current overseas conflicts, and our citizens
forget the painful past all too easily while claiming to celebrate
it.

It seems that we owe the veterans who gave their last breath fighting
for the rest of us the respect of treating that freedom well, and
reserving our fighting forces for wars that inevitably must be fought,
rather than those that are more personal in nature, as Iraq seems to
be to President Bush.

Vietnam in the end, is still a Communist country and it is a
progressive one on many respects, but it is still more than capable of
bringing a hard hand down on those who step over the line. Did it
benefit us to send almost 60,000 of our forces into a war there that
politicians did not allow the fighting forces to win? Most would say
no, it wasn't.

It was recent history in the bigger picture, and for a long time
people seriously appreciated our nation having reached a point where
we don't send our troops off to wars that inevitably, can't be won.
Today we are a nation that forgets easily the lessons of the past.
------------------------------------------------------------

"[Y]ou will always find that those are most apt to boast of national
merit, who have little or not merit of their own to depend on . . ."
-Oliver Goldsmith

Tim King is a former U.S. Marine with almost twenty years of
experience on the west coast as a television news producer,
photojournalist and reporter. Today, in addition to his role as a war
correspondent in Afghanistan where he spent the winter of 2006/07,
this Los Angeles native serves as Salem-News.com's Executive News
Editor. Salem-News.com is the nation's only truly independent high
traffic news Website, affiliated only with Google News. You can send
Tim an email at this address: newsr...@salem-news.com

http://www.salem-news.com/articles/september242007/ho_vietnam_92407.php

Historians will debate the precise motivations for the Vietnam war for
years to come. When official explanations don't stand up to scrutiny,
it raises the question, -- who benefits? As the man said, "follow the
money ... straight to the oil fields."

We were tossed out of Vietnam before we were able to get control of
their oil but we never gave up. Today we are trying by the diplomatic
route.


SEE:
BLACK GOLD HOT GOLD
The Rise of Fascism in the American Energy Business
(Pre-publication online preview excerpt)
(CHAPTER THREE)

The whole 20 year Viet Nam "war" from 1955 to 1975 was an oil scam.
And all during the "war," Vietnamese General Giap fought the Americans
with weapons he got from Laurence Rockefeller for a dollar. Did you
ever wonder why the US, despite, greatly superior weapons, and the
loss of 57,000 Americans and half a million Vietnamese, never won the
"war?" Ever wonder why the US President issued such strange "rules of
engagement" for the American troops that made sure they didn't win?
Ever wonder why Henry
Kissinger, a personal assistant to Nelson Rockefeller spent so much
time in the Viet Nam/Paris Peace talks which
never went anywhere but simply dragged on for years. Maybe winning the
"war" wasn't part of the plan of the Empire of Energy. Maybe the
timing of the "war" was more important.

http://www.brojon.org/frontpage/bj050701-3.html

It is time for a reasonable look at both Vietnam and Iraq -- and at
what the former can teach us about the latter. My perspective comes
from military service in the Pacific in World War II (I still carry
shrapnel in my body from a kamikaze attack on my destroyer, the U.S.S.
Maddox), nine terms in the U.S. House of Representatives, and four
years as secretary of defense to Nixon.
---- Melvin Laird

MELVIN R. LAIRD was Secretary of Defense from 1969 to 1973, Counselor
to the President for Domestic Affairs from 1973 to 1974, and a member
of the House of Representatives from 1952 to 1969. He currently
serves
as Senior Counselor for National and International Affairs at the
Reader's Digest Association.

U.S. Oil Companies in Vietnam for oil.

Newsman, Jack Anderson said that the way to be safe while driving
around in Vietnam was to be in a Shell Oil truck because it was
protected. (Paraphrased)

REUTERS
Published: February 14, 1983
Vietnam accused China today of violating Vietnamese sovereignty by
allowing American oil companies to operate in the Tonkin Gulf, off
northern Vietnam and southwestern China.

BACKGROUND

1. Abstract
The Spratly Islands of the South China Sea are a potential tinder box
in the region. Approximately 44 of the 51 small islands and reefs are
claimed or occupied by China, the Philippines, Vietnam, Taiwan,
Malaysia and Brunei. The conflict is the result of overlapping
sovereignty claims to various Spratly Islands thought to possess
substantial natural resources -- chiefly oil, natural gas, and
seafood.

Disputes have been propelled by an aggressive China, eager to meet
growing energy demands that outstrip its supply capability.
Overlapping claims resulted in several military incidents since 1974
and in several countries awarding foreign companies exploration rights
in the same
area of the South China Sea. Regional nation-states not directly
involved in the Spratly disputes became concerned about regional
stability and established a regional forum to discuss the peaceful
resolution of the disputes. Sovereignty and exploration disputes were
thought to be resolved with the drafting of ASEAN's 1992 declaration
which committed members to resolve disputes peacefully and to
consider
joint exploration of the territory. Military aggression and
exploration endeavors conducted by China since 1992, however, have
brought into question the validity of the 1992 joint declaration and
raises the question of what long-term, peaceful solution could prevent
the region from erupting into a continuum of military incidents over
sovereignty rights to the natural resource-rich Spratly Islands.

2. Description
The Spratly Islands of the South China Sea are a potential tinder box
in the region. Approximately 44 of the 51 small islands and reefs are
claimed or occupied by China, the Philippines, Vietnam, Taiwan,
Malaysia and Brunei. The conflict is the result of overlapping
sovereignty claims to various Spratly Islands thought to possess
substantial natural resources --chiefly oil, natural gas, and
seafood.
Disputes have been propelled by an aggressive China, eager to meet
growing energy demands that outstrip its supply capability.
Overlapping claims resulted in several military incidents since 1974
and in several countries awarding foreign companies exploration rights
in the same
area of the South China Sea. Regional nation-states not directly
involved in the Spratly disputes became concerned about regional
stability and established a regional forum to discuss the peaceful
resolution of the disputes. Sovereignty and exploration disputes were
thought to be resolved with the drafting of ASEAN's 1992 declaration
which committed members to resolve disputes peacefully and to
consider
joint exploration of the territory. Military aggression and
exploration endeavors conducted by China since 1992, however, have
brought into question the validity of the 1992 joint declaration and
raises the question of what long-term, peaceful solution could prevent
the region from erupting into a continuum of military incidents over
sovereignty rights to the natural resource-rich Spratly Islands.

Claims to various islands of the archipelago began in the 1930s. Since
the 1950s, the involved claimants have developed 29 oil fields and 4
gas fields in the Spratly region.(1) China's rising energy demands,
decreasing ability to meet demand growth with domestic energy
sources,
and continued reliance on oil have propelled China to look to
alternative energy sources -- in particular the relatively untapped
South China Sea in general, and the Spratly Islands in particular.

According to Kent Calder, China's energy balance of trade has
dramatically deteriorated since the early 1990s, causing China to
become a net importer of oil for the first time in over 25 years.(2)
Dependence on imported oil is likely to continue, given its low per
capita energy consumption rate -- 40% of the world average. Unless
China can find a way of coping with the high start-up costs, waste
products and safety concerns affiliated with the implementation of
nuclear energy, oil will remain one of China's leading energy sources
for the mid-to-long term. (3)

3. Duration: 1992 to now

4. Location
The Spratly Islands consist of 100 - 230 islets, coral reefs and sea
mounts (tablemounts).(4) Despite the fact that the archipelago is
spread over 250,000 sq km of sea space, the total land mass of the
Spratly Islands is a mere 5 sq km. The land is not arable, does not
support permanent crops, and has no meadows, pastures or forests.(5)
Furthermore, the Spratly Islands have not been occupied by humans
until
recently. Countries with territorial claims use military means
--airstrips and armed forces -- to reinforce their claims.(6)
The Spratly Islands are situated in the South China Sea -- one of the
largest continental shelves in the world. Typically, continental
shelves are abundant in resources such as oil, natural gas, minerals,
and seafood. According to James Kiras, a contributing editor of the
Peacekeeping & International Relations journal, one study conducted
by
China estimated oil reserves in the South China Sea to be larger than
Kuwait's present reserves.(7)

Oil and natural gas reserves in the Spratly region are estimated at
17.7 billion tons; Kuwait's reserves amount to 13 billion tons.(8) The
Spratly reserves place it as the fourth largest reserve bed
worldwide.

You can also visit the CIA World Factbook site for descriptive
information on the Spratly Islands' ecology.

Indirect Actors:
the United States:
The United States could become involved on two fronts -- commercial
and military. U.S. businesses participating in off-shore exploration
in the disputed islands have a commercial stake in how inter-state
tension and disputed claims are resolved. On the military side, the
United States has a mutual defense pact with the Philippines, yet
analysts indicate the Spratly disputes are unlikely to invoke the pact.
(17) The United States would, however, likely TAKE ACTION if maritime
activity was restricted in a manner inconsistent with international
law.

----------------------------
 
In article <1192868983.507432.197200@y27g2000pre.googlegroups.com>,
Raymond <Bluerhymer@aol.com> wrote:

> Vietnam War: It Could Have Been Avoided
> Tim King Salem-News.com
>
> If we learned from our mistakes, the world would be a different place
> today.
>
> (SALEM, Ore.) - Long before the U.S. went to Vietnam, before at least
> 58,148 of our countrymen were killed there, and thousands were left
> behind missing and in captivity, our country was asked by an acting
> leader of that nation to help them finally achieve freedom.
>
> Without question, the word "freedom" brings to mind the purest pursuit
> of the United States, and our President has used it as one of the
> reasons for occupying Iraq with U.S. forces. Another example of a
> quest for freedom came at the close of the Second World War, from a
> man Americans later learned to hate.
>
> The year Vietnam asked us for help was 1945, the man asking was Ho Chi
> Minh, and he would later become the leader of the communist forces of
> the North Vietnamese. When you look at the history of the Vietnam
> conflict, and all of the senseless killing and suffering, you learn
> there is at least a possibility that it could have been easily
> avoided.


What, by assassinating Ho? Too true!
>
> During World War Two, Ho Chi Minh worked for President Franklin Delano
> Roosevelt. He helped rescue downed American pilots, and providing
> valuable information to Americans on Japanese troop movements.


So did Mao. Are you saying we should have given Formosa to Mao because
he had worked for us once upon a time, and he only wanted to bring
"freedom" to Taiwan?
>
> He had been trained in Moscow, but Ho had spent time in the United
> States too and was regarded as enthusiastically pro-American during
> this period. Ho disbanded the Communist Party in the immediate post-
> war period, a constitution similar to ours was adopted, and he called
> for a general election.


How flipping naive are you, anyway? Or are you just trying to sell
something to the marks?

Ho never wanted freedom, except the "freedom" to become an emperor.

Sounds like you guys have been reading the Pentagon Papers again.
>
> President Roosevelt had publicly endorsed Vietnam's independence and
> Ho believed the President would bring Vietnam its long awaited goal,
> freedom.
>
> But the passing of FDR was more to Vietnam than a changing of the
> guard, it meant the end of a promise for U.S. support. When Ho Chi
> Minh sent communiques asking the Truman Administration to recognize
> Vietnam as a sovereign nation, and to not fund the revitalization of
> French colonialism in Southeast Asia, his words fell on deaf ears.


That's because Truman wasn't as naive as either you or FDR.

"I think if I give [Stalin] everything I possibly can, and ask nothing
from him in return, noblesse oblige, he won't try to annex anything and
will work with me for a world of peace and democracy."
---Franklin Roosevelt
>
> Shortly after that the French came back, funded by American dollars.
> But they did not last long, and their military forces were fully
> defeated by 1954. Ten years later the American war in Vietnam began,
> and more than ten more years would pass before our country's final
> pullout.
>
> Had we listened to that request for freedom in 1945, there might have
> never been a Vietnam War. It is almost as though the country most
> interested in protecting the world from Communism, the U.S., was the
> facilitator of this country's aspirations to become Communist in the
> first place, at least Moscow responded to Ho Chi Minh's letters.


You /have/ been reading the Pentagon Papers.

>
> SEE:
> BLACK GOLD HOT GOLD
> The Rise of Fascism in the American Energy Business
> (Pre-publication online preview excerpt)
> (CHAPTER THREE)
>
> The whole 20 year Viet Nam "war" from 1955 to 1975 was an oil scam.


Heh.

> And all during the "war," Vietnamese General Giap fought the Americans
> with weapons he got from Laurence Rockefeller for a dollar.


Quit with the prevarications already.

==Begin Quote==

In order to coordinate Chinese and Vietnamese strategies, Le Duan, VWP
First Secretary, secretly visited Beijing in mid-August [1964].

[...]

While Mao was meeting with Le Duan at the scenic Beihaihe, the Chinese
air force was busy moving a large number of air and antiaircraft units
to the Chinese-Vietnamese border area. On 12 August, the air force's
Seventh Army headquarters was moved from Guangdong to Nanning, so that
it would be able to take charge of possible operations in Guangxi and in
areas adjacent to the Tonkin Gulf

[...]

From 1965 to 1969, China's aid to Vietnam took three main forms: the
dispatch of Chinese engineering troops for the construction and
maintenance of defense works, airfields and railways in North Vietnam;
the use of Chinese antiaricraft artillery troops for the defense of
important strategic areas and targets in the northern part of North
Vietnam; and the supply of large amounts of military equipment and other
military and civilian materials.

[...]

[Beijing military supply records, totals by year]

1964
80,500 guns
1,205 artillery pieces
25,240,000 bullets
335,000 artillery shells
426 radio transmitters
2941 filed telephones
16 tanks
18 aircraft
25 vehicles

1965
220,767 guns
4,439 artillery pieces
114,010,000 bullets
1,800,000 artillery shells
2,779 radio transmitters
9,503 field telephones
7 patrol vessels
2 aircraft
114 vehicles

1966
141,531 guns
3,362 artillery pieces
178,120,000 bullets
1,066,000 artillery shells
1,568 radio transmitters
2,235 field telephones
14 patrol vessels
70 aircraft
96 vehicles
400,000 sets of uniforms

[These supplies lists continue, but drop off after 1971]

[...]

Chinese records claim these troops [Chinese antiaircraft batteries which
had been deployed to North Vietnam during the war] had fought a total of
2,154 battles and were responsible for shooting down 1,707 American
planes and damaging another 1,608.

==End Quote==

---Chen Jian
Mao's China and the Cold War (pp 212-228)
(University of North Carolina Press, 2001)


--
NeoLibertarian

"The government's view of the economy could be summed
up in a few short phrases: If it moves, tax it. If it
keeps moving, regulate it. And if it stops moving,
subsidize it."
---Ronald Reagan
 
Raymond wrote:
> Vietnam War: It Could Have Been Avoided
> Tim King Salem-News.com
>
> If we learned from our mistakes, the world would be a different place
> today.



You mean that war that the great liberal Lyndon Johnson and a Congress
with Democrats in solid control led up into?
Yes, we could have avoided the Vietnam war and the Iraq war--by
minding our own business.

> (SALEM, Ore.) - Long before the U.S. went to Vietnam, before at least
> 58,148 of our countrymen were killed there, and thousands were left
> behind missing and in captivity, our country was asked by an acting
> leader of that nation to help them finally achieve freedom.
>
> Without question, the word "freedom" brings to mind the purest pursuit
> of the United States, and our President has used it as one of the
> reasons for occupying Iraq with U.S. forces. Another example of a
> quest for freedom came at the close of the Second World War, from a
> man Americans later learned to hate.
>
> The year Vietnam asked us for help was 1945, the man asking was Ho Chi
> Minh, and he would later become the leader of the communist forces of
> the North Vietnamese. When you look at the history of the Vietnam
> conflict, and all of the senseless killing and suffering, you learn
> there is at least a possibility that it could have been easily
> avoided.
>
> During World War Two, Ho Chi Minh worked for President Franklin Delano
> Roosevelt. He helped rescue downed American pilots, and providing
> valuable information to Americans on Japanese troop movements.
>
> He had been trained in Moscow, but Ho had spent time in the United
> States too and was regarded as enthusiastically pro-American during
> this period. Ho disbanded the Communist Party in the immediate post-
> war period, a constitution similar to ours was adopted, and he called
> for a general election.
>
> President Roosevelt had publicly endorsed Vietnam's independence and
> Ho believed the President would bring Vietnam its long awaited goal,
> freedom.
>
> But the passing of FDR was more to Vietnam than a changing of the
> guard, it meant the end of a promise for U.S. support. When Ho Chi
> Minh sent communiques asking the Truman Administration to recognize
> Vietnam as a sovereign nation, and to not fund the revitalization of
> French colonialism in Southeast Asia, his words fell on deaf ears.
>
> Shortly after that the French came back, funded by American dollars.
> But they did not last long, and their military forces were fully
> defeated by 1954. Ten years later the American war in Vietnam began,
> and more than ten more years would pass before our country's final
> pullout.
>
> Had we listened to that request for freedom in 1945, there might have
> never been a Vietnam War. It is almost as though the country most
> interested in protecting the world from Communism, the U.S., was the
> facilitator of this country's aspirations to become Communist in the
> first place, at least Moscow responded to Ho Chi Minh's letters.
>
> Why is this relevant? It just seems like perspective is everything
> when you talk about the current overseas conflicts, and our citizens
> forget the painful past all too easily while claiming to celebrate
> it.
>
> It seems that we owe the veterans who gave their last breath fighting
> for the rest of us the respect of treating that freedom well, and
> reserving our fighting forces for wars that inevitably must be fought,
> rather than those that are more personal in nature, as Iraq seems to
> be to President Bush.
>
> Vietnam in the end, is still a Communist country and it is a
> progressive one on many respects, but it is still more than capable of
> bringing a hard hand down on those who step over the line. Did it
> benefit us to send almost 60,000 of our forces into a war there that
> politicians did not allow the fighting forces to win? Most would say
> no, it wasn't.
>
> It was recent history in the bigger picture, and for a long time
> people seriously appreciated our nation having reached a point where
> we don't send our troops off to wars that inevitably, can't be won.
> Today we are a nation that forgets easily the lessons of the past.
> ------------------------------------------------------------
>
> "[Y]ou will always find that those are most apt to boast of national
> merit, who have little or not merit of their own to depend on . . ."
> -Oliver Goldsmith
>
> Tim King is a former U.S. Marine with almost twenty years of
> experience on the west coast as a television news producer,
> photojournalist and reporter. Today, in addition to his role as a war
> correspondent in Afghanistan where he spent the winter of 2006/07,
> this Los Angeles native serves as Salem-News.com's Executive News
> Editor. Salem-News.com is the nation's only truly independent high
> traffic news Website, affiliated only with Google News. You can send
> Tim an email at this address: newsr...@salem-news.com
>
> http://www.salem-news.com/articles/september242007/ho_vietnam_92407.php
>
> Historians will debate the precise motivations for the Vietnam war for
> years to come. When official explanations don't stand up to scrutiny,
> it raises the question, -- who benefits? As the man said, "follow the
> money ... straight to the oil fields."
>
> We were tossed out of Vietnam before we were able to get control of
> their oil but we never gave up. Today we are trying by the diplomatic
> route.
>
>
> SEE:
> BLACK GOLD HOT GOLD
> The Rise of Fascism in the American Energy Business
> (Pre-publication online preview excerpt)
> (CHAPTER THREE)
>
> The whole 20 year Viet Nam "war" from 1955 to 1975 was an oil scam.
> And all during the "war," Vietnamese General Giap fought the Americans
> with weapons he got from Laurence Rockefeller for a dollar. Did you
> ever wonder why the US, despite, greatly superior weapons, and the
> loss of 57,000 Americans and half a million Vietnamese, never won the
> "war?" Ever wonder why the US President issued such strange "rules of
> engagement" for the American troops that made sure they didn't win?
> Ever wonder why Henry
> Kissinger, a personal assistant to Nelson Rockefeller spent so much
> time in the Viet Nam/Paris Peace talks which
> never went anywhere but simply dragged on for years. Maybe winning the
> "war" wasn't part of the plan of the Empire of Energy. Maybe the
> timing of the "war" was more important.
>
> http://www.brojon.org/frontpage/bj050701-3.html
>
> It is time for a reasonable look at both Vietnam and Iraq -- and at
> what the former can teach us about the latter. My perspective comes
> from military service in the Pacific in World War II (I still carry
> shrapnel in my body from a kamikaze attack on my destroyer, the U.S.S.
> Maddox), nine terms in the U.S. House of Representatives, and four
> years as secretary of defense to Nixon.
> ---- Melvin Laird
>
> MELVIN R. LAIRD was Secretary of Defense from 1969 to 1973, Counselor
> to the President for Domestic Affairs from 1973 to 1974, and a member
> of the House of Representatives from 1952 to 1969. He currently
> serves
> as Senior Counselor for National and International Affairs at the
> Reader's Digest Association.
>
> U.S. Oil Companies in Vietnam for oil.
>
> Newsman, Jack Anderson said that the way to be safe while driving
> around in Vietnam was to be in a Shell Oil truck because it was
> protected. (Paraphrased)
>
> REUTERS
> Published: February 14, 1983
> Vietnam accused China today of violating Vietnamese sovereignty by
> allowing American oil companies to operate in the Tonkin Gulf, off
> northern Vietnam and southwestern China.
>
> BACKGROUND
>
> 1. Abstract
> The Spratly Islands of the South China Sea are a potential tinder box
> in the region. Approximately 44 of the 51 small islands and reefs are
> claimed or occupied by China, the Philippines, Vietnam, Taiwan,
> Malaysia and Brunei. The conflict is the result of overlapping
> sovereignty claims to various Spratly Islands thought to possess
> substantial natural resources -- chiefly oil, natural gas, and
> seafood.
>
> Disputes have been propelled by an aggressive China, eager to meet
> growing energy demands that outstrip its supply capability.
> Overlapping claims resulted in several military incidents since 1974
> and in several countries awarding foreign companies exploration rights
> in the same
> area of the South China Sea. Regional nation-states not directly
> involved in the Spratly disputes became concerned about regional
> stability and established a regional forum to discuss the peaceful
> resolution of the disputes. Sovereignty and exploration disputes were
> thought to be resolved with the drafting of ASEAN's 1992 declaration
> which committed members to resolve disputes peacefully and to
> consider
> joint exploration of the territory. Military aggression and
> exploration endeavors conducted by China since 1992, however, have
> brought into question the validity of the 1992 joint declaration and
> raises the question of what long-term, peaceful solution could prevent
> the region from erupting into a continuum of military incidents over
> sovereignty rights to the natural resource-rich Spratly Islands.
>
> 2. Description
> The Spratly Islands of the South China Sea are a potential tinder box
> in the region. Approximately 44 of the 51 small islands and reefs are
> claimed or occupied by China, the Philippines, Vietnam, Taiwan,
> Malaysia and Brunei. The conflict is the result of overlapping
> sovereignty claims to various Spratly Islands thought to possess
> substantial natural resources --chiefly oil, natural gas, and
> seafood.
> Disputes have been propelled by an aggressive China, eager to meet
> growing energy demands that outstrip its supply capability.
> Overlapping claims resulted in several military incidents since 1974
> and in several countries awarding foreign companies exploration rights
> in the same
> area of the South China Sea. Regional nation-states not directly
> involved in the Spratly disputes became concerned about regional
> stability and established a regional forum to discuss the peaceful
> resolution of the disputes. Sovereignty and exploration disputes were
> thought to be resolved with the drafting of ASEAN's 1992 declaration
> which committed members to resolve disputes peacefully and to
> consider
> joint exploration of the territory. Military aggression and
> exploration endeavors conducted by China since 1992, however, have
> brought into question the validity of the 1992 joint declaration and
> raises the question of what long-term, peaceful solution could prevent
> the region from erupting into a continuum of military incidents over
> sovereignty rights to the natural resource-rich Spratly Islands.
>
> Claims to various islands of the archipelago began in the 1930s. Since
> the 1950s, the involved claimants have developed 29 oil fields and 4
> gas fields in the Spratly region.(1) China's rising energy demands,
> decreasing ability to meet demand growth with domestic energy
> sources,
> and continued reliance on oil have propelled China to look to
> alternative energy sources -- in particular the relatively untapped
> South China Sea in general, and the Spratly Islands in particular.
>
> According to Kent Calder, China's energy balance of trade has
> dramatically deteriorated since the early 1990s, causing China to
> become a net importer of oil for the first time in over 25 years.(2)
> Dependence on imported oil is likely to continue, given its low per
> capita energy consumption rate -- 40% of the world average. Unless
> China can find a way of coping with the high start-up costs, waste
> products and safety concerns affiliated with the implementation of
> nuclear energy, oil will remain one of China's leading energy sources
> for the mid-to-long term. (3)
>
> 3. Duration: 1992 to now
>
> 4. Location
> The Spratly Islands consist of 100 - 230 islets, coral reefs and sea
> mounts (tablemounts).(4) Despite the fact that the archipelago is
> spread over 250,000 sq km of sea space, the total land mass of the
> Spratly Islands is a mere 5 sq km. The land is not arable, does not
> support permanent crops, and has no meadows, pastures or forests.(5)
> Furthermore, the Spratly Islands have not been occupied by humans
> until
> recently. Countries with territorial claims use military means
> --airstrips and armed forces -- to reinforce their claims.(6)
> The Spratly Islands are situated in the South China Sea -- one of the
> largest continental shelves in the world. Typically, continental
> shelves are abundant in resources such as oil, natural gas, minerals,
> and seafood. According to James Kiras, a contributing editor of the
> Peacekeeping & International Relations journal, one study conducted
> by
> China estimated oil reserves in the South China Sea to be larger than
> Kuwait's present reserves.(7)
>
> Oil and natural gas reserves in the Spratly region are estimated at
> 17.7 billion tons; Kuwait's reserves amount to 13 billion tons.(8) The
> Spratly reserves place it as the fourth largest reserve bed
> worldwide.
>
> You can also visit the CIA World Factbook site for descriptive
> information on the Spratly Islands' ecology.
>
> Indirect Actors:
> the United States:
> The United States could become involved on two fronts -- commercial
> and military. U.S. businesses participating in off-shore exploration
> in the disputed islands have a commercial stake in how inter-state
> tension and disputed claims are resolved. On the military side, the
> United States has a mutual defense pact with the Philippines, yet
> analysts indicate the Spratly disputes are unlikely to invoke the pact.
> (17) The United States would, however, likely TAKE ACTION if maritime
> activity was restricted in a manner inconsistent with international
> law.
>
> ----------------------------
 
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