Wanna See How Iran or China Will Kick Our Butts?

T

Too_Many_Tools

Guest
Anybody want to lose a carrier or two?

If you can read, you will see that the US Navy has NO defense against
this.

And when the oil stops, the US economy will too.

As for China...want to bet that these missiles could carry tactical
nukes?

Too bad we can't buy one at Walmart....

TMT


Navy Lacks Plan to Defend Against `Carrier-Destroying' Missile Tony
Capaccio Fri Mar 23


March 23 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. Navy, after nearly six years of
warnings from Pentagon testers, still lacks a plan for defending
aircraft carriers against a supersonic Russian-built missile,
according to current and former officials and Defense Department
documents.

The missile, known in the West as the ``Sizzler,'' has been deployed
by China and may be purchased by Iran. Deputy Secretary of Defense
Gordon England has given the Navy until April 29 to explain how it
will counter the missile, according to a Pentagon budget document.

The Defense Department's weapons-testing office judges the threat so
serious that its director, Charles McQueary, warned the Pentagon's
chief weapons-buyer in a memo that he would move to stall production
of multibillion-dollar ship and missile programs until the issue was
addressed.

``This is a carrier-destroying weapon,'' said Orville Hanson, who
evaluated weapons systems for 38 years with the Navy. ``That's its
purpose.''

``Take out the carriers'' and China ``can walk into Taiwan,'' he said.
China bought the missiles in 2002 along with eight diesel submarines
designed to fire it, according to Office of Naval Intelligence
spokesman Robert Althage.

A Pentagon official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said Russia
also offered the missile to Iran, although there's no evidence a sale
has gone through. In Iranian hands, the Sizzler could challenge the
ability of the U.S. Navy to keep open the Strait of Hormuz, through
which an estimated 25 percent of the world's oil traffic flows.

Fast and Low-Flying

``This is a very low-flying, fast missile,'' said retired Rear Admiral
Eric McVadon, a former U.S. naval attache in Beijing. ``It won't be
visible until it's quite close. By the time you detect it to the time
it hits you is very short. You'd want to know your capabilities to
handle this sort of missile.''

The Navy's ship-borne Aegis system, deployed on cruisers and
destroyers starting in the early 1980s, is designed to protect
aircraft-carrier battle groups from missile attacks. But current and
former officials say the Navy has no assurance Aegis, built by
Lockheed Martin Corp., is capable of detecting, tracking and
intercepting the Sizzler.

``This was an issue when I walked in the door in 2001,'' Thomas
Christie, the Defense Department's top weapons-testing official from
mid-2001 to early 2005, said in an interview.

`A Major Issue'

``The Navy recognized this was a major issue, and over the years, I
had continued promises they were going to fully fund development and
production'' of missiles that could replicate the Sizzler to help
develop a defense against it, Christie said. ``They haven't.''

The effect is that in a conflict, the U.S. ``would send a billion-
dollar platform loaded with equipment and crew into harm's way without
some sort of confidence that we could defeat what is apparently a
threat very near on the horizon,'' Christie said.

The Navy considered developing a program to test against the Sizzler
``but has no plans in the immediate future to initiate such a
developmental effort,'' Naval Air Systems Command spokesman Rob Koon
said in an e-mail.

Lieutenant Bashon Mann, a Navy spokesman, said the service is aware of
the Sizzler's capabilities and is ``researching suitable
alternatives'' to defend against it. ``U.S. naval warships have a
layered defense capability that can defend against various missile
threats,'' Mann said.

Raising Concerns

McQueary, head of the Pentagon's testing office, raised his concerns
about the absence of Navy test plans for the missile in a Sept. 8,
2006, memo to Ken Krieg, undersecretary of defense for acquisition. He
also voiced concerns to Deputy Secretary England.

In the memo, McQuery said that unless the Sizzler threat was
addressed, his office wouldn't approve test plans necessary for
production to begin on several other projects, including Northrop
Grumman Corp.'s new $35.8 billion CVN-21 aircraft-carrier project; the
$36.5 billion DDG-1000 destroyer project being developed by Northrop
and General Dynamics Corp.; and two Raytheon Corp. projects, the $6
billion Standard Missile-6 and $1.1 billion Ship Self Defense System.

Charts prepared by the Navy for a February 2005 briefing for defense
contractors said the Sizzler, which is also called the SS-N-27B,
starts out flying at subsonic speeds. Within 10 nautical miles of its
target, a rocket-propelled warhead separates and accelerates to three
times the speed of sound, flying no more than 10 meters (33 feet)
above sea level.

Final Approach

On final approach, the missile ``has the potential to perform very
high defensive maneuvers,'' including sharp-angled dodges, the Office
of Naval Intelligence said in a manual on worldwide maritime threats.

The Sizzler is ``unique,'' the Defense Science Board, an independent
agency within the Pentagon that provides assessments of major defense
issues, said in an October 2005 report. Most anti-ship cruise missiles
fly below the speed of sound and on a straight path, making them
easier to track and target.

McQueary, in a March 16 e-mailed statement, said that ``to the best of
our knowledge,'' the Navy hasn't started a test program or responded
to the board's recommendations. ``The Navy may be reluctant to invest
in development of a new target, given their other bills,'' he said.

`Aggressively Marketing'

The Sizzler's Russian maker, state-run Novator Design Bureau in
Yekaterinburg, is ``aggressively marketing'' the weapon at
international arms shows, said Steve Zaloga, a missile analyst with
the Teal Group, a Fairfax, Virginia-based defense research
organization. Among other venues, the missile was pitched at last
month's IDEX 2007, the Middle East's largest weapons exposition, he
said.

Zaloga provided a page from Novator's sales brochure depicting the
missile.

Alexander Uzhanov, a spokesman for the Moscow-based Russian arms-
export agency Rosoboronexport, which oversees Novator, declined to
comment.

McVadon, who has written about the Chinese navy, called the Sizzler
``right now the most pertinent and pressing threat the U.S. faces in
the case of a Taiwan conflict.'' Jane's, the London-based defense
information group, reported in 2005 in its publication ``Missiles and
Rockets'' that Russia had offered the missile to Iran as part of a
sale in the 1990s of three Kilo- class submarines.

That report was confirmed by the Pentagon official who requested
anonymity. The Office of Naval Intelligence suggested the same thing
in a 2004 report, highlighting in its assessment of maritime threats
Iran's possible acquisition of additional Russian diesel submarines
``with advanced anti-ship cruise missiles.''

The Defense Science Board, in its 2005 report, recommended that the
Navy ``immediately implement'' a plan to produce a surrogate Sizzler
that could be used for testing.

``Time is of the essence here,'' the board said.
 
Yeah, but...

The US has the greatest nuclear arsenal and the greatest delivery system
of all the rest of the world combined. A deadly missile strike against
a US carrier would be fatal to the country that launched it.
 
Think so?
Or is that just a Hitler wet dream?

"NeverExpectPowerAlways" <huh?@noway.com> wrote in message
news:deZMh.1144$YL5.142@newssvr29.news.prodigy.net...
> Yeah, but...
>
> The US has the greatest nuclear arsenal and the greatest delivery system
> of all the rest of the world combined. A deadly missile strike against a
> US carrier would be fatal to the country that launched it.
 
Geno2341 wrote:
> Think so?
> Or is that just a Hitler wet dream?


That's just a realistic assessment of the situation. Look who has his
finger on the Big Red Button.
 
On 23 Mar 2007 15:17:45 -0700, "Too_Many_Tools"
<too_many_tools@yahoo.com> wrote:

>Anybody want to lose a carrier or two?
>
>If you can read, you will see that the US Navy has NO defense against
>this.


you need to develop some critical thinking skills. start with regular
thinking skills first.

anybody who hits one of our carrier groups is dead. so the carrier is
dead, all aboard are dead, and then whomever did this is dead. It is
called MAD, i.e. mutually assured destruction.

Unless China can move Beijing out of the way in 20 minutes and hide it
somewhere so it can't be found...and unless Iran can move Tehran out
of the way, off the map/surface of the globe in 20 minutes and hide it
somewhere so it can't be found, attacking a carrier is the equivalent
of committing suicide.

So, they can do it if they want to. What do you think is holding them
back? Why haven't they done it YET? could it have something to do
with what I just mentioned?

Lg
 
On 23 Mar 2007 15:17:45 -0700, "Too_Many_Tools"
<too_many_tools@yahoo.com> wrote:

>Anybody want to lose a carrier or two?
>
>If you can read, you will see that the US Navy has NO defense against
>this.


I strongly doubt that the USN has no defense against a sea
skimming missile just because it's a newer, faster one.

>
>And when the oil stops, the US economy will too.
>
>As for China...want to bet that these missiles could carry tactical
>nukes?
>
>Too bad we can't buy one at Walmart....
>
>TMT
>
>
>Navy Lacks Plan to Defend Against `Carrier-Destroying' Missile Tony
>Capaccio Fri Mar 23
>
>
>March 23 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. Navy, after nearly six years of
>warnings from Pentagon testers, still lacks a plan for defending
>aircraft carriers against a supersonic Russian-built missile,
>according to current and former officials and Defense Department
>documents.
>
>The missile, known in the West as the ``Sizzler,'' has been deployed
>by China and may be purchased by Iran. Deputy Secretary of Defense
>Gordon England has given the Navy until April 29 to explain how it
>will counter the missile, according to a Pentagon budget document.
>
>The Defense Department's weapons-testing office judges the threat so
>serious that its director, Charles McQueary, warned the Pentagon's
>chief weapons-buyer in a memo that he would move to stall production
>of multibillion-dollar ship and missile programs until the issue was
>addressed.
>
>``This is a carrier-destroying weapon,'' said Orville Hanson, who
>evaluated weapons systems for 38 years with the Navy. ``That's its
>purpose.''
>
>``Take out the carriers'' and China ``can walk into Taiwan,'' he said.
>China bought the missiles in 2002 along with eight diesel submarines
>designed to fire it, according to Office of Naval Intelligence
>spokesman Robert Althage.
>
>A Pentagon official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said Russia
>also offered the missile to Iran, although there's no evidence a sale
>has gone through. In Iranian hands, the Sizzler could challenge the
>ability of the U.S. Navy to keep open the Strait of Hormuz, through
>which an estimated 25 percent of the world's oil traffic flows.
>
>Fast and Low-Flying
>
>``This is a very low-flying, fast missile,'' said retired Rear Admiral
>Eric McVadon, a former U.S. naval attache in Beijing. ``It won't be
>visible until it's quite close. By the time you detect it to the time
>it hits you is very short. You'd want to know your capabilities to
>handle this sort of missile.''


The US Navy and other armed services have been working on, and
deploying drones for more than ten years already, not to mention the
fact that the E2-C Hawkeye carries a very capable multi-mode radar
which can track hundreds of targets, as well as sea skimming missiles.

>
>The Navy's ship-borne Aegis system, deployed on cruisers and
>destroyers starting in the early 1980s, is designed to protect
>aircraft-carrier battle groups from missile attacks. But current and
>former officials say the Navy has no assurance Aegis, built by
>Lockheed Martin Corp., is capable of detecting, tracking and
>intercepting the Sizzler.
>
>``This was an issue when I walked in the door in 2001,'' Thomas
>Christie, the Defense Department's top weapons-testing official from
>mid-2001 to early 2005, said in an interview.
>
>`A Major Issue'
>
>``The Navy recognized this was a major issue, and over the years, I
>had continued promises they were going to fully fund development and
>production'' of missiles that could replicate the Sizzler to help
>develop a defense against it, Christie said. ``They haven't.''
>
>The effect is that in a conflict, the U.S. ``would send a billion-
>dollar platform loaded with equipment and crew into harm's way without
>some sort of confidence that we could defeat what is apparently a
>threat very near on the horizon,'' Christie said.
>
>The Navy considered developing a program to test against the Sizzler
>``but has no plans in the immediate future to initiate such a
>developmental effort,'' Naval Air Systems Command spokesman Rob Koon
>said in an e-mail.


The US Navy tried to buy a batch of Moskits a few years back,
or was it Sunburns? I think it was the Sunburn actually... pardon moi.
Anyway, they don't really need to buy a batch to test successfully
against them. All they need to know are it's exact specs.

>
>Lieutenant Bashon Mann, a Navy spokesman, said the service is aware of
>the Sizzler's capabilities and is ``researching suitable
>alternatives'' to defend against it. ``U.S. naval warships have a
>layered defense capability that can defend against various missile
>threats,'' Mann said.
>
>Raising Concerns
>
>McQueary, head of the Pentagon's testing office, raised his concerns
>about the absence of Navy test plans for the missile in a Sept. 8,
>2006, memo to Ken Krieg, undersecretary of defense for acquisition. He
>also voiced concerns to Deputy Secretary England.
>
>In the memo, McQuery said that unless the Sizzler threat was
>addressed, his office wouldn't approve test plans necessary for
>production to begin on several other projects, including Northrop
>Grumman Corp.'s new $35.8 billion CVN-21 aircraft-carrier project; the
>$36.5 billion DDG-1000 destroyer project being developed by Northrop
>and General Dynamics Corp.; and two Raytheon Corp. projects, the $6
>billion Standard Missile-6 and $1.1 billion Ship Self Defense System.
>
>Charts prepared by the Navy for a February 2005 briefing for defense
>contractors said the Sizzler, which is also called the SS-N-27B,
>starts out flying at subsonic speeds. Within 10 nautical miles of its
>target, a rocket-propelled warhead separates and accelerates to three
>times the speed of sound, flying no more than 10 meters (33 feet)
>above sea level.


I doubt that. The Moskit was new in the '90s. This is probably
the same missile, or a slightly advanced version of it. I suppose it's
possible, but even if that's for real, the US Navy here is pretending
that all they have to defend with are the shipboard radars, etc. The
E2-C Hawkeye has been called a "mini-AWACS", and that's pretty much
what it is.

>
>Final Approach
>
>On final approach, the missile ``has the potential to perform very
>high defensive maneuvers,'' including sharp-angled dodges, the Office
>of Naval Intelligence said in a manual on worldwide maritime threats.
>
>The Sizzler is ``unique,'' the Defense Science Board, an independent
>agency within the Pentagon that provides assessments of major defense
>issues, said in an October 2005 report. Most anti-ship cruise missiles
>fly below the speed of sound and on a straight path, making them
>easier to track and target.
>
>McQueary, in a March 16 e-mailed statement, said that ``to the best of
>our knowledge,'' the Navy hasn't started a test program or responded
>to the board's recommendations. ``The Navy may be reluctant to invest
>in development of a new target, given their other bills,'' he said.
>
>`Aggressively Marketing'
>
>The Sizzler's Russian maker, state-run Novator Design Bureau in
>Yekaterinburg, is ``aggressively marketing'' the weapon at
>international arms shows, said Steve Zaloga, a missile analyst with
>the Teal Group, a Fairfax, Virginia-based defense research
>organization. Among other venues, the missile was pitched at last
>month's IDEX 2007, the Middle East's largest weapons exposition, he
>said.


I think Canada ought to buy it. Then next time some EU member
nations ships are here overfishing out territorial waters, we can take
them right out of the briny, and we'll see if their spokespeople want
to try again saying what they did last time; "...we don't recognize
the jurisdiction,,,"

>
>Zaloga provided a page from Novator's sales brochure depicting the
>missile.
>
>Alexander Uzhanov, a spokesman for the Moscow-based Russian arms-
>export agency Rosoboronexport, which oversees Novator, declined to
>comment.
>
>McVadon, who has written about the Chinese navy, called the Sizzler
>``right now the most pertinent and pressing threat the U.S. faces in
>the case of a Taiwan conflict.'' Jane's, the London-based defense
>information group, reported in 2005 in its publication ``Missiles and
>Rockets'' that Russia had offered the missile to Iran as part of a
>sale in the 1990s of three Kilo- class submarines.


I don't believe it's a new missile. If it was offered in the
'90s, that means it's the Moskit. This might be a slightly upgraded
version of the Moskit, but the Moskit is a mach 2 missile, not mach 3.

>
>That report was confirmed by the Pentagon official who requested
>anonymity. The Office of Naval Intelligence suggested the same thing
>in a 2004 report, highlighting in its assessment of maritime threats
>Iran's possible acquisition of additional Russian diesel submarines
>``with advanced anti-ship cruise missiles.''
>
>The Defense Science Board, in its 2005 report, recommended that the
>Navy ``immediately implement'' a plan to produce a surrogate Sizzler
>that could be used for testing.
>
>``Time is of the essence here,'' the board said.
 
"Too_Many_Tools" <too_many_tools@yahoo.com> wrote in message
news:1174688265.380348.24810@l75g2000hse.googlegroups.com...
> Anybody want to lose a carrier or two?
>
> If you can read, you will see that the US Navy has NO defense against
> this.


Actually, we have several. First, there is deterrence. Were the PLAN
(People's Liberation Army's Navy) actually to succeed in taking out a U.S.
Carrier, it most certainly would provoke a response about equivalent to
nuking the U.S. mainland. That is to say, they'd better have a very deep
hole to hide in and no assets or interests that we can find, reach and
destroy. China would be made to suffer and bleed rather badly for such
hubris.

Second, the SS-N-27B needs a launching platform, i.e., a submarine, to get
it within range of the prime target at the center of a Carrier Battle Group.
To do that, the attacking sub needs to avoid detection and destruction while
closing to within about 100nm, against the best and heaviest concentration
of ASW systems and platforms to be found anywhere in the world, i.e., a USN
Carrier Battle Group. This certainly can be accomplished, provided enough
skill and luck. But just one attempt by one Russian-built PLAN Kilo (the
likeliest platform for the SS-N-27B) ain't gonna get 'er done. The PLAN
will have to commit several or all of their available Kilos, as well as lots
of other valuable assets to the attack, if they expect to have a decent
chance of success. Many of these won't be coming back.

Third, assuming the launching platform survives to launch before becoming
the basis for someone's Navy Cross, the missile has to actually find, reach
and either destroy the target or at least degrade it enough to make the
undertaking worthwhile. Until it's terminal approach, it's just another
cruise missile, and subject to all the usual countermeasures. Moreover, this
isn't the first supposed "superweapon" we've heard were in either final
design or actual production in Russia or China. Often, reported
capabilities are wildly exaggerated or made up from whole cloth to suit
someone's agenda. Remember the "Missile Gap"?


Jeff
 
On Mar 23, 2:17 pm, "Too_Many_Tools" <too_many_to...@yahoo.com> wrote:
> Anybody want to lose a carrier or two?
>
> If you can read, you will see that the US Navy has NO defense against
> this.
>
> And when the oil stops, the US economy will too.
>
> As for China...want to bet that these missiles could carry tactical
> nukes?
>
> Too bad we can't buy one at Walmart....
>
> TMT
>
> Navy Lacks Plan to Defend Against `Carrier-Destroying' Missile Tony
> Capaccio Fri Mar 23
>
> March 23 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. Navy, after nearly six years of
> warnings from Pentagon testers, still lacks a plan for defending
> aircraft carriers against a supersonic Russian-built missile,
> according to current and former officials and Defense Department
> documents.
>
> The missile, known in the West as the ``Sizzler,'' has been deployed
> by China and may be purchased by Iran. Deputy Secretary of Defense
> Gordon England has given the Navy until April 29 to explain how it
> will counter the missile, according to a Pentagon budget document.
>
> The Defense Department's weapons-testing office judges the threat so
> serious that its director, Charles McQueary, warned the Pentagon's
> chief weapons-buyer in a memo that he would move to stall production
> of multibillion-dollar ship and missile programs until the issue was
> addressed.
>
> ``This is a carrier-destroying weapon,'' said Orville Hanson, who
> evaluated weapons systems for 38 years with the Navy. ``That's its
> purpose.''
>
> ``Take out the carriers'' and China ``can walk into Taiwan,'' he said.
> China bought the missiles in 2002 along with eight diesel submarines
> designed to fire it, according to Office of Naval Intelligence
> spokesman Robert Althage.
>
> A Pentagon official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said Russia
> also offered the missile to Iran, although there's no evidence a sale
> has gone through. In Iranian hands, the Sizzler could challenge the
> ability of the U.S. Navy to keep open the Strait of Hormuz, through
> which an estimated 25 percent of the world's oil traffic flows.
>
> Fast and Low-Flying
>
> ``This is a very low-flying, fast missile,'' said retired Rear Admiral
> Eric McVadon, a former U.S. naval attache in Beijing. ``It won't be
> visible until it's quite close. By the time you detect it to the time
> it hits you is very short. You'd want to know your capabilities to
> handle this sort of missile.''
>
> The Navy's ship-borne Aegis system, deployed on cruisers and
> destroyers starting in the early 1980s, is designed to protect
> aircraft-carrier battle groups from missile attacks. But current and
> former officials say the Navy has no assurance Aegis, built by
> Lockheed Martin Corp., is capable of detecting, tracking and
> intercepting the Sizzler.
>
> ``This was an issue when I walked in the door in 2001,'' Thomas
> Christie, the Defense Department's top weapons-testing official from
> mid-2001 to early 2005, said in an interview.
>
> `A Major Issue'
>
> ``The Navy recognized this was a major issue, and over the years, I
> had continued promises they were going to fully fund development and
> production'' of missiles that could replicate the Sizzler to help
> develop a defense against it, Christie said. ``They haven't.''
>
> The effect is that in a conflict, the U.S. ``would send a billion-
> dollar platform loaded with equipment and crew into harm's way without
> some sort of confidence that we could defeat what is apparently a
> threat very near on the horizon,'' Christie said.
>
> The Navy considered developing a program to test against the Sizzler
> ``but has no plans in the immediate future to initiate such a
> developmental effort,'' Naval Air Systems Command spokesman Rob Koon
> said in an e-mail.
>
> Lieutenant Bashon Mann, a Navy spokesman, said the service is aware of
> the Sizzler's capabilities and is ``researching suitable
> alternatives'' to defend against it. ``U.S. naval warships have a
> layered defense capability that can defend against various missile
> threats,'' Mann said.
>
> Raising Concerns
>
> McQueary, head of the Pentagon's testing office, raised his concerns
> about the absence of Navy test plans for the missile in a Sept. 8,
> 2006, memo to Ken Krieg, undersecretary of defense for acquisition. He
> also voiced concerns to Deputy Secretary England.
>
> In the memo, McQuery said that unless the Sizzler threat was
> addressed, his office wouldn't approve test plans necessary for
> production to begin on several other projects, including Northrop
> Grumman Corp.'s new $35.8 billion CVN-21 aircraft-carrier project; the
> $36.5 billion DDG-1000 destroyer project being developed by Northrop
> and General Dynamics Corp.; and two Raytheon Corp. projects, the $6
> billion Standard Missile-6 and $1.1 billion Ship Self Defense System.
>
> Charts prepared by the Navy for a February 2005 briefing for defense
> contractors said the Sizzler, which is also called the SS-N-27B,
> starts out flying at subsonic speeds. Within 10 nautical miles of its
> target, a rocket-propelled warhead separates and accelerates to three
> times the speed of sound, flying no more than 10 meters (33 feet)
> above sea level.
>
> Final Approach
>
> On final approach, the missile ``has the potential to perform very
> high defensive maneuvers,'' including sharp-angled dodges, the Office
> of Naval Intelligence said in a manual on worldwide maritime threats.
>
> The Sizzler is ``unique,'' the Defense Science Board, an independent
> agency within the Pentagon that provides assessments of major defense
> issues, said in an October 2005 report. Most anti-ship cruise missiles
> fly below the speed of sound and on a straight path, making them
> easier to track and target.
>
> McQueary, in a March 16 e-mailed statement, said that ``to the best of
> our knowledge,'' the Navy hasn't started a test program or responded
> to the board's recommendations. ``The Navy may be reluctant to invest
> in development of a new target, given their other bills,'' he said.
>
> `Aggressively Marketing'
>
> The Sizzler's Russian maker, state-run Novator Design Bureau in
> Yekaterinburg, is ``aggressively marketing'' the weapon at
> international arms shows, said Steve Zaloga, a missile analyst with
> the Teal Group, a Fairfax, Virginia-based defense research
> organization. Among other venues, the missile was pitched at last
> month's IDEX 2007, the Middle East's largest weapons exposition, he
> said.
>
> Zaloga provided a page from Novator's sales brochure depicting the
> missile.
>
> Alexander Uzhanov, a spokesman for the Moscow-based Russian arms-
> export agency Rosoboronexport, which oversees Novator, declined to
> comment.
>
> McVadon, who has written about the Chinese navy, called the Sizzler
> ``right now the most pertinent and pressing threat the U.S. faces in
> the case of a Taiwan conflict.'' Jane's, the London-based defense
> information group, reported in 2005 in its publication ``Missiles and
> Rockets'' that Russia had offered the missile to Iran as part of a
> sale in the 1990s of three Kilo- class submarines.
>
> That report was confirmed by the Pentagon official who requested
> anonymity. The Office of Naval Intelligence suggested the same thing
> in a 2004 report, highlighting in its assessment of maritime threats
> Iran's possible acquisition of additional Russian diesel submarines
> ``with advanced anti-ship cruise missiles.''
>
> The Defense Science Board, in its 2005 report, recommended that the
> Navy ``immediately implement'' a plan to produce a surrogate Sizzler
> that could be used for testing.
>
> ``Time is of the essence here,'' the board said.


I don't know if there is a real problem here..
Two years ago the Army successfully field-tested a new Laser defence
system that tracked incoming artillery shells... and then fried them
before they impacted.

I doubt very much that the 'sizzler' might be faster or more difficult
to intercept than a howitzer shell.
 
lorad474@cs.com wrote:

<snip>

> I don't know if there is a real problem here..
> Two years ago the Army successfully field-tested a new Laser defence
> system that tracked incoming artillery shells... and then fried them
> before they impacted.


Assuming this is true, for each "successful" test, there's a shitload of duds.

Personally, I have very little confidence in this country's defense system(s).

--
Notan
 
On Mar 23, 7:17 pm, "Too_Many_Tools" <too_many_to...@yahoo.com> wrote:
> Anybody want to lose a carrier or two?
>
> If you can read, you will see that the US Navy has NO defense against
> this.
>
> And when the oil stops, the US economy will too.
>
> As for China...want to bet that these missiles could carry tactical
> nukes?
>
> Too bad we can't buy one at Walmart....
>
> TMT


Buy one what? We have all of the offensive weapons needed. What the
articles appears to be reporting is a defence weakness. Don't you
read the stuff you post?

> Navy Lacks Plan to Defend Against `Carrier-Destroying' Missile Tony
> Capaccio Fri Mar 23
>
> March 23 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. Navy, after nearly six years of
> warnings from Pentagon testers, still lacks a plan for defending
> aircraft carriers against a supersonic Russian-built missile,
> according to current and former officials and Defense Department
> documents.
>
> The missile, known in the West as the ``Sizzler,'' has been deployed
> by China and may be purchased by Iran. Deputy Secretary of Defense
> Gordon England has given the Navy until April 29 to explain how it
> will counter the missile, according to a Pentagon budget document.


Just what the world needs to know - how our carrier defences will
operate...

> ``Time is of the essence here,'' the board said.


So is secrecy. Why blab our weakenesses and our countermeasures all
over the world?

Sometimes I think that you're an idiot, but I'm probably wrong.
You're probably an idiot all of the time.
 
"J. Carroll" <nohow@haha.cam> wrote in message
news:tg_Mh.6297$tv6.4961@newssvr19.news.prodigy.net...
> Scotius wrote:
>> On 23 Mar 2007 15:17:45 -0700, "Too_Many_Tools"
>> <too_many_tools@yahoo.com> wrote:
>>
>>> Anybody want to lose a carrier or two?
>>>
>>> If you can read, you will see that the US Navy has NO defense against
>>> this.

>>
>> I strongly doubt that the USN has no defense against a sea
>> skimming missile just because it's a newer, faster one.

>
> Good point. The reason defending against this is tough is that the targets
> are in the Persian Gulf and that the missiles are land, not sea, based.
>
> At any rate, Iran can't use what it doesn't have. They do, however, have
> the
> Exocet deployed and these things scare the **** out of any surface fleet,
> ours included. There truly isn't a defense against a land based Exocet if
> is
> less than 50 miles from a ship. They cruise along at mach 3+


My understanding was that the MM40s (and all Exocet variants) were subsonic.

> and they are evaders.


My understanding was that the Exocet has no evasive capacity at present,
other than it's preprogrammed flight path, but that the Block 3 variant
would have some reactive evasion capacity.

> Unless you detect the launch from a fair distance, you're toast.


They do seem to have a rather high failure rate in actual use, although that
may be at least in part attributable to certain, ahem, technological
defenses. Moreover, their warheads just aren't that large. More than a few
hits would be required to sink anything as big and robust as a CVN.

> Even an AWACS doesn't see a Persian Gulf launch early enough to matter
> 'cause you'd have to see the order being given to fire the thing to knopw
> in
> enough time to do anything much.
>
> OTOH, they can use what they do, and what they have tested and now
> deployed
> is a 250 mph land and sea based torpedo.


I'm very sceptical of that claim about the Iranians' new toy. The Russians
had a very high speed torpedo, the "Schkal" or something like that, based on
supercavitation technology. But it had a range of less than 5 nm, due to
the huge fuel consumption required. I doubt the Iranians could do much
better, even with expert Russian help. What are the odds a launching
platform could get that close?

> About the only thing the US can do if the **** hits the fan in the Persian
> gulf is leave quickly or loose every single asset on the and under water -
> including and perhaps especially - any subs in the Gulf. The Gulf is a
> terrible place to have a deep water navy deployed and that is what the
> United States has. It is shallow, noisy and easily observable. You can
> drive
> a carrier around in less than a third of it and it isn't deep or cold
> enough
> to have the temperature gradient our subs need for concealment.
>
> Should the US ever really go to war with Iran, the first sign will be the
> withdrawal of US naval forces from the Persian Gulf.
> They'd be sitting ducks.


Good observation. Another alternative we might see is a sudden ans
sustained multiplatform attack intended to so degrade Iranian anti-shipping
assets as to make Gulf a reasonably safe operational environment for USN
warships.

Jeff

> Oh, by the way. The US isn't prepared to pop a nuke should this actually
> happen. It isn't and never has been part of any SIOP or OPLAN and goober
> can't launch on his own. I doubt that there is a single person in the
> National Command Authority chain that would authenticate the validity of a
> launch release order if Bush gave it. Not with Rumsfeld gone.
>
> --
>
> John R. Carroll
> Machining Solution Software, Inc.
> Los Angeles San Francisco
> www.machiningsolution.com
>
>
 
You know maybe America has become lucky.
Bush being color blind can't distinglish red from blue,
I have heard that a CIA agent has put cards on the buttons and the blue
button is red and connected to Bush's seat in the Oval office.

"NeverExpectPowerAlways" <huh?@noway.com> wrote in message
news:FxZMh.1148$YL5.1070@newssvr29.news.prodigy.net...
> Geno2341 wrote:
>> Think so?
>> Or is that just a Hitler wet dream?

>
> That's just a realistic assessment of the situation. Look who has his
> finger on the Big Red Button.
 
"J. Carroll" <nohow@haha.cam> wrote in message
news:ys_Mh.6299$tv6.2653@newssvr19.news.prodigy.net...
> Jeff McCann wrote:
>> "Too_Many_Tools" <too_many_tools@yahoo.com> wrote in message
>> news:1174688265.380348.24810@l75g2000hse.googlegroups.com...
>>> Anybody want to lose a carrier or two?
>>>
>>> If you can read, you will see that the US Navy has NO defense against
>>> this.

>>
>> Actually, we have several. First, there is deterrence. Were the PLAN
>> (People's Liberation Army's Navy) actually to succeed in taking out a
>> U.S. Carrier, it most certainly would provoke a response about
>> equivalent to nuking the U.S. mainland. That is to say, they'd
>> better have a very deep hole to hide in and no assets or interests
>> that we can find, reach and destroy. China would be made to suffer
>> and bleed rather badly for such hubris.
>>

> The PRC has no interest in an attack on US forces or US interests.\
> They just don't.
> Iran is another story.


Um, their core military strategy, especially the naval aspects, focuses on
Taiwan. To forcibly "reunite" Taiwan with the mainland, they have to, and
do, recognize that their biggest obstacle is the USN. They plan
accordingly.

See, e.g., http://www.armedforcesjournal.com/2005/11/1153293 "China's
military buildup is primarily, if not exclusively, focused on what Beijing
refers to as the Taiwan problem"

Jeff
 
Scotius wrote:
> On 23 Mar 2007 15:17:45 -0700, "Too_Many_Tools"
> <too_many_tools@yahoo.com> wrote:
>
>> Anybody want to lose a carrier or two?
>>
>> If you can read, you will see that the US Navy has NO defense against
>> this.

>
> I strongly doubt that the USN has no defense against a sea
> skimming missile just because it's a newer, faster one.


Good point. The reason defending against this is tough is that the targets
are in the Persian Gulf and that the missiles are land, not sea, based.

At any rate, Iran can't use what it doesn't have. They do, however, have the
Exocet deployed and these things scare the **** out of any surface fleet,
ours included. There truly isn't a defense against a land based Exocet if is
less than 50 miles from a ship. They cruise along at mach 3+ and they are
evaders. Unless you detect the launch from a fair distance, you're toast.
Even an AWACS doesn't see a Persian Gulf launch early enough to matter
'cause you'd have to see the order being given to fire the thing to knopw in
enough time to do anything much.

OTOH, they can use what they do, and what they have tested and now deployed
is a 250 mph land and sea based torpedo.
About the only thing the US can do if the **** hits the fan in the Persian
gulf is leave quickly or loose every single asset on the and under water -
including and perhaps especially - any subs in the Gulf. The Gulf is a
terrible place to have a deep water navy deployed and that is what the
United States has. It is shallow, noisy and easily observable. You can drive
a carrier around in less than a third of it and it isn't deep or cold enough
to have the temperature gradient our subs need for concealment.

Should the US ever really go to war with Iran, the first sign will be the
withdrawal of US naval forces from the Persian Gulf.
They'd be sitting ducks.

Oh, by the way. The US isn't prepared to pop a nuke should this actually
happen. It isn't and never has been part of any SIOP or OPLAN and goober
can't launch on his own. I doubt that there is a single person in the
National Command Authority chain that would authenticate the validity of a
launch release order if Bush gave it. Not with Rumsfeld gone.

--

John R. Carroll
Machining Solution Software, Inc.
Los Angeles San Francisco
www.machiningsolution.com
 
And Washington isn't in the sights of China's Nukes?

"Lawrence Glickman" <Lawrence_Glickman@comcast.net> wrote in message
news:9kp803lmodovbrg23mumimu96mfj4d3evg@4ax.com...
> On 23 Mar 2007 15:17:45 -0700, "Too_Many_Tools"
> <too_many_tools@yahoo.com> wrote:
>
>>Anybody want to lose a carrier or two?
>>
>>If you can read, you will see that the US Navy has NO defense against
>>this.

>
> you need to develop some critical thinking skills. start with regular
> thinking skills first.
>
> anybody who hits one of our carrier groups is dead. so the carrier is
> dead, all aboard are dead, and then whomever did this is dead. It is
> called MAD, i.e. mutually assured destruction.
>
> Unless China can move Beijing out of the way in 20 minutes and hide it
> somewhere so it can't be found...and unless Iran can move Tehran out
> of the way, off the map/surface of the globe in 20 minutes and hide it
> somewhere so it can't be found, attacking a carrier is the equivalent
> of committing suicide.
>
> So, they can do it if they want to. What do you think is holding them
> back? Why haven't they done it YET? could it have something to do
> with what I just mentioned?
>
> Lg
>
 
Satilites in the earths atmosphere really makes ship guidence systems
redundant.
Also as soon as the ships fire the missiles their positions are exposed.

"Scotius" <wolvzbro@mnsi.net> wrote in message
news:v5q803hc40sdqctgl98d9ipmrodg3nokik@4ax.com...
> On 23 Mar 2007 15:17:45 -0700, "Too_Many_Tools"
> <too_many_tools@yahoo.com> wrote:
>
>>Anybody want to lose a carrier or two?
>>
>>If you can read, you will see that the US Navy has NO defense against
>>this.

>
> I strongly doubt that the USN has no defense against a sea
> skimming missile just because it's a newer, faster one.
>
>>
>>And when the oil stops, the US economy will too.
>>
>>As for China...want to bet that these missiles could carry tactical
>>nukes?
>>
>>Too bad we can't buy one at Walmart....
>>
>>TMT
>>
>>
>>Navy Lacks Plan to Defend Against `Carrier-Destroying' Missile Tony
>>Capaccio Fri Mar 23
>>
>>
>>March 23 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. Navy, after nearly six years of
>>warnings from Pentagon testers, still lacks a plan for defending
>>aircraft carriers against a supersonic Russian-built missile,
>>according to current and former officials and Defense Department
>>documents.
>>
>>The missile, known in the West as the ``Sizzler,'' has been deployed
>>by China and may be purchased by Iran. Deputy Secretary of Defense
>>Gordon England has given the Navy until April 29 to explain how it
>>will counter the missile, according to a Pentagon budget document.
>>
>>The Defense Department's weapons-testing office judges the threat so
>>serious that its director, Charles McQueary, warned the Pentagon's
>>chief weapons-buyer in a memo that he would move to stall production
>>of multibillion-dollar ship and missile programs until the issue was
>>addressed.
>>
>>``This is a carrier-destroying weapon,'' said Orville Hanson, who
>>evaluated weapons systems for 38 years with the Navy. ``That's its
>>purpose.''
>>
>>``Take out the carriers'' and China ``can walk into Taiwan,'' he said.
>>China bought the missiles in 2002 along with eight diesel submarines
>>designed to fire it, according to Office of Naval Intelligence
>>spokesman Robert Althage.
>>
>>A Pentagon official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said Russia
>>also offered the missile to Iran, although there's no evidence a sale
>>has gone through. In Iranian hands, the Sizzler could challenge the
>>ability of the U.S. Navy to keep open the Strait of Hormuz, through
>>which an estimated 25 percent of the world's oil traffic flows.
>>
>>Fast and Low-Flying
>>
>>``This is a very low-flying, fast missile,'' said retired Rear Admiral
>>Eric McVadon, a former U.S. naval attache in Beijing. ``It won't be
>>visible until it's quite close. By the time you detect it to the time
>>it hits you is very short. You'd want to know your capabilities to
>>handle this sort of missile.''

>
> The US Navy and other armed services have been working on, and
> deploying drones for more than ten years already, not to mention the
> fact that the E2-C Hawkeye carries a very capable multi-mode radar
> which can track hundreds of targets, as well as sea skimming missiles.
>
>>
>>The Navy's ship-borne Aegis system, deployed on cruisers and
>>destroyers starting in the early 1980s, is designed to protect
>>aircraft-carrier battle groups from missile attacks. But current and
>>former officials say the Navy has no assurance Aegis, built by
>>Lockheed Martin Corp., is capable of detecting, tracking and
>>intercepting the Sizzler.
>>
>>``This was an issue when I walked in the door in 2001,'' Thomas
>>Christie, the Defense Department's top weapons-testing official from
>>mid-2001 to early 2005, said in an interview.
>>
>>`A Major Issue'
>>
>>``The Navy recognized this was a major issue, and over the years, I
>>had continued promises they were going to fully fund development and
>>production'' of missiles that could replicate the Sizzler to help
>>develop a defense against it, Christie said. ``They haven't.''
>>
>>The effect is that in a conflict, the U.S. ``would send a billion-
>>dollar platform loaded with equipment and crew into harm's way without
>>some sort of confidence that we could defeat what is apparently a
>>threat very near on the horizon,'' Christie said.
>>
>>The Navy considered developing a program to test against the Sizzler
>>``but has no plans in the immediate future to initiate such a
>>developmental effort,'' Naval Air Systems Command spokesman Rob Koon
>>said in an e-mail.

>
> The US Navy tried to buy a batch of Moskits a few years back,
> or was it Sunburns? I think it was the Sunburn actually... pardon moi.
> Anyway, they don't really need to buy a batch to test successfully
> against them. All they need to know are it's exact specs.
>
>>
>>Lieutenant Bashon Mann, a Navy spokesman, said the service is aware of
>>the Sizzler's capabilities and is ``researching suitable
>>alternatives'' to defend against it. ``U.S. naval warships have a
>>layered defense capability that can defend against various missile
>>threats,'' Mann said.
>>
>>Raising Concerns
>>
>>McQueary, head of the Pentagon's testing office, raised his concerns
>>about the absence of Navy test plans for the missile in a Sept. 8,
>>2006, memo to Ken Krieg, undersecretary of defense for acquisition. He
>>also voiced concerns to Deputy Secretary England.
>>
>>In the memo, McQuery said that unless the Sizzler threat was
>>addressed, his office wouldn't approve test plans necessary for
>>production to begin on several other projects, including Northrop
>>Grumman Corp.'s new $35.8 billion CVN-21 aircraft-carrier project; the
>>$36.5 billion DDG-1000 destroyer project being developed by Northrop
>>and General Dynamics Corp.; and two Raytheon Corp. projects, the $6
>>billion Standard Missile-6 and $1.1 billion Ship Self Defense System.
>>
>>Charts prepared by the Navy for a February 2005 briefing for defense
>>contractors said the Sizzler, which is also called the SS-N-27B,
>>starts out flying at subsonic speeds. Within 10 nautical miles of its
>>target, a rocket-propelled warhead separates and accelerates to three
>>times the speed of sound, flying no more than 10 meters (33 feet)
>>above sea level.

>
> I doubt that. The Moskit was new in the '90s. This is probably
> the same missile, or a slightly advanced version of it. I suppose it's
> possible, but even if that's for real, the US Navy here is pretending
> that all they have to defend with are the shipboard radars, etc. The
> E2-C Hawkeye has been called a "mini-AWACS", and that's pretty much
> what it is.
>
>>
>>Final Approach
>>
>>On final approach, the missile ``has the potential to perform very
>>high defensive maneuvers,'' including sharp-angled dodges, the Office
>>of Naval Intelligence said in a manual on worldwide maritime threats.
>>
>>The Sizzler is ``unique,'' the Defense Science Board, an independent
>>agency within the Pentagon that provides assessments of major defense
>>issues, said in an October 2005 report. Most anti-ship cruise missiles
>>fly below the speed of sound and on a straight path, making them
>>easier to track and target.
>>
>>McQueary, in a March 16 e-mailed statement, said that ``to the best of
>>our knowledge,'' the Navy hasn't started a test program or responded
>>to the board's recommendations. ``The Navy may be reluctant to invest
>>in development of a new target, given their other bills,'' he said.
>>
>>`Aggressively Marketing'
>>
>>The Sizzler's Russian maker, state-run Novator Design Bureau in
>>Yekaterinburg, is ``aggressively marketing'' the weapon at
>>international arms shows, said Steve Zaloga, a missile analyst with
>>the Teal Group, a Fairfax, Virginia-based defense research
>>organization. Among other venues, the missile was pitched at last
>>month's IDEX 2007, the Middle East's largest weapons exposition, he
>>said.

>
> I think Canada ought to buy it. Then next time some EU member
> nations ships are here overfishing out territorial waters, we can take
> them right out of the briny, and we'll see if their spokespeople want
> to try again saying what they did last time; "...we don't recognize
> the jurisdiction,,,"
>
>>
>>Zaloga provided a page from Novator's sales brochure depicting the
>>missile.
>>
>>Alexander Uzhanov, a spokesman for the Moscow-based Russian arms-
>>export agency Rosoboronexport, which oversees Novator, declined to
>>comment.
>>
>>McVadon, who has written about the Chinese navy, called the Sizzler
>>``right now the most pertinent and pressing threat the U.S. faces in
>>the case of a Taiwan conflict.'' Jane's, the London-based defense
>>information group, reported in 2005 in its publication ``Missiles and
>>Rockets'' that Russia had offered the missile to Iran as part of a
>>sale in the 1990s of three Kilo- class submarines.

>
> I don't believe it's a new missile. If it was offered in the
> '90s, that means it's the Moskit. This might be a slightly upgraded
> version of the Moskit, but the Moskit is a mach 2 missile, not mach 3.
>
>>
>>That report was confirmed by the Pentagon official who requested
>>anonymity. The Office of Naval Intelligence suggested the same thing
>>in a 2004 report, highlighting in its assessment of maritime threats
>>Iran's possible acquisition of additional Russian diesel submarines
>>``with advanced anti-ship cruise missiles.''
>>
>>The Defense Science Board, in its 2005 report, recommended that the
>>Navy ``immediately implement'' a plan to produce a surrogate Sizzler
>>that could be used for testing.
>>
>>``Time is of the essence here,'' the board said.

>
 
"Geno2341" <eugenefkent@fuse.net> wrote in message
news:339db$46047e45$d8442e0a$25923@FUSE.NET...
> And Washington isn't in the sights of China's Nukes?


Unless it is smuggled in via shipping container or something, the answer
would be "no" to the best of my knowledge. But the West coast is within
reach of their ICBMs.

Jeff
 
Jeff McCann wrote:
> "Too_Many_Tools" <too_many_tools@yahoo.com> wrote in message
> news:1174688265.380348.24810@l75g2000hse.googlegroups.com...
>> Anybody want to lose a carrier or two?
>>
>> If you can read, you will see that the US Navy has NO defense against
>> this.

>
> Actually, we have several. First, there is deterrence. Were the PLAN
> (People's Liberation Army's Navy) actually to succeed in taking out a
> U.S. Carrier, it most certainly would provoke a response about
> equivalent to nuking the U.S. mainland. That is to say, they'd
> better have a very deep hole to hide in and no assets or interests
> that we can find, reach and destroy. China would be made to suffer
> and bleed rather badly for such hubris.
>

The PRC has no interest in an attack on US forces or US interests.\
They just don't.
Iran is another story.

--

John R. Carroll
Machining Solution Software, Inc.
Los Angeles San Francisco
www.machiningsolution.com
 
Jeff McCann wrote:
> "J. Carroll" <nohow@haha.cam> wrote in message
> news:tg_Mh.6297$tv6.4961@newssvr19.news.prodigy.net...
>> Scotius wrote:
>>> On 23 Mar 2007 15:17:45 -0700, "Too_Many_Tools"
>>> <too_many_tools@yahoo.com> wrote:
>>>
>>>> Anybody want to lose a carrier or two?
>>>>
>>>> If you can read, you will see that the US Navy has NO defense
>>>> against this.
>>>
>>> I strongly doubt that the USN has no defense against a sea
>>> skimming missile just because it's a newer, faster one.

>>
>> Good point. The reason defending against this is tough is that the
>> targets are in the Persian Gulf and that the missiles are land, not
>> sea, based.
>>
>> At any rate, Iran can't use what it doesn't have. They do, however,
>> have the
>> Exocet deployed and these things scare the **** out of any surface
>> fleet, ours included. There truly isn't a defense against a land
>> based Exocet if is
>> less than 50 miles from a ship. They cruise along at mach 3+

>
> My understanding was that the MM40s (and all Exocet variants) were
> subsonic.
>
>> and they are evaders.

>
> My understanding was that the Exocet has no evasive capacity at
> present, other than it's preprogrammed flight path, but that the
> Block 3 variant would have some reactive evasion capacity.


Jeff you're right. Iran deployed Silkworms in 1999.
There are indeed supersonic Exocet's however. They just aren't sea launched.

>
>> Unless you detect the launch from a fair distance, you're toast.

>
> They do seem to have a rather high failure rate in actual use,
> although that may be at least in part attributable to certain,
> ahem, technological defenses. Moreover, their warheads just aren't
> that large. More than a few hits would be required to sink anything
> as big and robust as a CVN.
>
>> Even an AWACS doesn't see a Persian Gulf launch early enough to
>> matter 'cause you'd have to see the order being given to fire the
>> thing to knopw in
>> enough time to do anything much.
>>
>> OTOH, they can use what they do, and what they have tested and now
>> deployed
>> is a 250 mph land and sea based torpedo.

>
> I'm very sceptical of that claim about the Iranians' new toy. The
> Russians had a very high speed torpedo, the "Schkal" or something
> like that, based on supercavitation technology. But it had a range
> of less than 5 nm, due to the huge fuel consumption required. I
> doubt the Iranians could do much better, even with expert Russian
> help. What are the odds a launching platform could get that close?



Pretty good. They land based variant sits on the end of a 1200 mph solid
fuel missile.
I wonder what they do on entry?


>
>> About the only thing the US can do if the **** hits the fan in the
>> Persian gulf is leave quickly or loose every single asset on the and
>> under water - including and perhaps especially - any subs in the
>> Gulf. The Gulf is a terrible place to have a deep water navy
>> deployed and that is what the United States has. It is shallow,
>> noisy and easily observable. You can drive
>> a carrier around in less than a third of it and it isn't deep or cold
>> enough
>> to have the temperature gradient our subs need for concealment.
>>
>> Should the US ever really go to war with Iran, the first sign will
>> be the withdrawal of US naval forces from the Persian Gulf.
>> They'd be sitting ducks.

>
> Good observation. Another alternative we might see is a sudden ans
> sustained multiplatform attack intended to so degrade Iranian
> anti-shipping assets as to make Gulf a reasonably safe operational
> environment for USN warships.
>


I'm sure that's in a plan somewhere but land based air assets are a better
choice if we have it out with the Iranians.
I know a couple of former naval commanders from GWI and the thing they all
agreed on was that they didn't eat much or sleep well when they were
operating in the Gulf.

Personally, I can't imagine circumstances under which such a thing, an all
out conflict, would happen - in the real world anyway.
Not withstanding any particular course or outcome in Iraq, I can easily
imagine the beginning of normalized diplomatic and economic relations with
Iran in the next 5 years. You might laugh at that but my own first hand
knoweledge of Iranians is the basis. They are not unfriendly to America and
are in fact increasingly western in many ways. We need to be patient and
wise enough to let these "kids" grow up. Things are changing and as the old
farts pass from the stage, anything will be possible.


--

John R. Carroll
Machining Solution Software, Inc.
Los Angeles San Francisco
www.machiningsolution.com
 
On Mar 23, 5:15 pm, "Jeff McCann" <nos...@nothanks.com> wrote:

> My understanding was that the Exocet has no evasive capacity at present,
> other than it's preprogrammed flight path, but that the Block 3 variant
> would have some reactive evasion capacity.


Nobody would be looney enough to put much reliance in an Exocet
variant asset.

Here's some more info about the 'sizzler':
"In 2005~06, the PLA Navy (PLAN) received six improved Project 636M
(Kilo class) diesel-electric submarines which are fitted with the
advanced 'Club' anti-ship weapon complex designed by Russian Novator
Bureau. The system features the 3M-54E (NATO codename: SS-N-27
Sizzler) subsonic anti-ship cruise missile (ASCM) with a maximum range
of 220~300km. The 'Club' weapon system is available in two versions:
the surface-ship-based Club-N and the submarine-based Club-S, both of
which employs unified combat assets - two types of anti-ship cruise
missiles and a type of ballistic anti-submarine missile.

The 'Club' weapon system includes a number of different variant
missiles including the anti-ship variants 3M-54 and 3M-54E1, and the
anti-submarine variant 91RE1. It is still not clear which variant the
PLAN is operating on its Project 636M Kilo class submarines. The
3M-54E1 is a 300km-range subsonic anti-ship cruise variant similar to
the U.S. Tomahawk. The 3M-54E variant with a shorter range is based on
the subsonic stage of the 3M-54E1 but use a rocket-propelled second
stage which is released 20~60km from the target. This second stage
then accelerates to Mach 3 to defeat ship defences. Both missiles in
the 'Club' weapon complex use a common active radar guidance system
and both fly a low-altitude sea-skimming mission profile. The missile
is launched from the torpedo tubes of the submarine."
http://www.sinodefence.com/navy/navalmissile/3m54.asp

Good range, but slow until close in.


> I'm very sceptical of that claim about the Iranians' new toy. The Russians
> had a very high speed torpedo, the "Schkal" or something like that, based on
> supercavitation technology. But it had a range of less than 5 nm, due to
> the huge fuel consumption required. I doubt the Iranians could do much
> better, even with expert Russian help. What are the odds a launching
> platform could get that close?


It's the 'Shkval'.
Yes, deployment by an iranian asset would be problematic.
Rubber boats are not suitable platforms.

> Good observation. Another alternative we might see is a sudden ans
> sustained multiplatform attack intended to so degrade Iranian anti-shipping
> assets as to make Gulf a reasonably safe operational environment for USN
> warships.
> Jeff


There is another and greater threat to US naval assets than the
'sizzler'. Much greater:

""Nonsense!" you are probably thinking. That's impossible. How could a
few picayune destroyers threaten the US Pacific fleet?" Here is where
the story thickens: Summer Pulse amounted to a tacit acknowledgement,
obvious to anyone paying attention, that the United States has been
eclipsed in an important area of military technology, and that this
qualitative edge is now being wielded by others, including the
Chinese; because those otherwise very ordinary destroyers were, in
fact, launching platforms for Russian-made 3M-82 Moskit anti-ship
cruise missiles (NATO designation: SS-N-22 Sunburn), a weapon for
which the US Navy currently has no defense. Here I am not suggesting
that the US status of lone world Superpower has been surpassed. I am
simply saying that a new global balance of power is emerging, in which
other individual states may, on occasion, achieve "an asymmetric
advantage" over the US. And this, in my view, explains the immense
scale of Summer Pulse. The US show last summer of overwhelming
strength was calculated to send a message."
http://www.rense.com/general59/theSunburniransawesome.htm
 
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